Brazil vs. Colombia
June 23, 2021 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -125
(Click here for latest betting odds)
Brazil is hosting Colombia at Estadio Nilton Santos in round 4 of Group B in the Copa America 2021. Brazil is on a 9-game winning streak during which they conceded only 1 goal while conceding 0 goals in their last 6 games. Colombia was in good form until they lost in their last match.
Brazil has been in fantastic form, they are at the top of this group, and with a win in this game, Brazil will qualify for the next stage. In their first two games of this tournament, Brazil has scored 7 goals while conceding 0 goals, and they are looking mighty impressive. In their last game against Peru, Brazil has had 55% of ball possession, 9 shots on goal, 2 corner kicks, 7 big chances created, and a high 90% of the correct passes. Brazil got ahead early, in the 12th minute, but they have scored 3 more goals in the second half, and Brazil has won this match 4-0. Neymar has scored 2 goals for Brazil so far, while Marquinhos, Sandro, Ribeiro, Richarlison, and Barbosa have each added 1 goal. With performances like this, Brazil is definitely the biggest favorite to win this tournament, and whenever it was played in Brazil, they have won it.
Colombia is one of the best offensive teams in South America, but they just can’t get back on the goalscoring track. Colombia has scored only 2 goals in their last 3 games, and they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss during that stretch. With 4 points, Colombia is in 2nd place, and they will most likely qualify to the next stage, the only question is from which spot. In their last game against Peru, Colombia was the better team with 59% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 85% of the correct passes. Defensively, Colombia has completely failed in this match, and after they conceded a goal in the 17th minute, Colombia has tied the score in the 53rd minute. In the 64th minute, Colombia has scored an own goal, and they ended up losing this match 1-2. With Muriel and Zapata as their star strikers, you would think Colombia would score more goals, but they are out of form when playing for their national team, and that is something Colombia must fix if they want to have a chance at getting far in this tournament. I think Colombia has made a mistake not bringing James with them to this tournament, and as we can see, it’s costing them a lot.
When playing at home, Brazil has not lost to Colombia in their last 4 games, and Brazil is undefeated in their last 26 home games. Brazil is also on a 9-game winning streak. Everything is pointing towards Brazil here, and I agree. We are getting a solid price on Brazil, but I will add goals here because Colombia’s defense is not good.