Brazil vs. Chile
July 2, 2021 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -110, Under 2.5 -110
(Click here for latest betting odds)
Brazil is hosting Chile at Estadio Nilton Santos in the Quarterfinals of Copa America 2021. Brazil hasn’t had too many problems in the group stage, and they remained undefeated in their 4 group stage games. Chile has advanced from 4th place, which is unlucky for them because they have gotten the hardest opponent they could have. Chile has also been sloppy on both ends, and they have scored only 3 goals in 4 games.
Brazil has been outstanding in the attacking end with 10 scored goals in 4 games, but their defense was equally good with only 2 conceded goals. In their latest game, Brazil was playing against Ecuador, and they have had 62% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and 89% of the correct passes. Because Brazil has secured the top spot before this game, they were resting most of their starting players. In the 37th minute, Brazil has scored a goal, but Ecuador tied the score in the 53rd minute. The final score of this match was 1-1. Neymar has scored 2 goals and added 2 assists for Brazil so far in this tournament. Brazil is coming into this game well-rested, they are in good form, their chemistry is great, and they are playing well on both ends. Brazil is the favorite to win this tournament, and I can see why.
Chile was undefeated for 6 games before their last match, but they have had 4 ties in those 6 games. In their last match against Paraguay, Chile has had 68% of ball possession, 1 shot on goal, 3 corner kicks, 0 big chances created, and 87% of the correct passes. Nothing was working for Chile in the attacking end in this match, and their goalscoring drought has started at the wrong time. Chile has lost this game 0-2. The good news for Chile is that Sanchez should be ready for this game, and that will be a huge boost for them in the attacking end. Chile hasn’t been doing particularly well in the attacking end in this tournament, and they have scored only 3 goals. Vargas has scored 2 goals, while Brereton added 1 goal. Chile is a scrappy team, they never give up, they keep running and fighting, and they will need every ounce of that in this game. Sure, if Sanchez will be in the lineup, that will help Chile a lot, but they will still need a lot of focus on the defensive end to stop Brazil’s offensive talent.
When playing at home, Brazil hasn’t lost to Chile in their last 5 games, and Chile has beaten Brazil only once in the past. Brazil hasn’t lost any of their last 11 games, and they haven’t lost any of their last 28 home games. As I’ve mentioned, Chile is a scrappy team, but Brazil is the superior team in this matchup, they are the better team in every way, and I see them winning this match.