Peru vs. Paraguay
July 2, 2021 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 +175, Under 2.5 -225
(Click here for latest betting odds)
Peru and Paraguay are clashing at Estadio Olimpico Pedro Ludovico in the Quarterfinals of Copa America 2021. Peru has improved massively in this tournament, and they have qualified for the Quarterfinals from second place in their group. Paraguay has had 2 wins and 2 losses in the group stage, and that was enough for 3rd place in their group.
Before Copa America started, Peru was in horrible form, and they were losing games left and right, but it looks like something clicked for them in Copa America, and they have displayed some fantastic soccer. In their last game against Venezuela, Peru has had 57% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 3 big chances created, and 87% of the correct passes. Peru was defending well, they didn’t rush forward, and 1 goal they scored was enough for a 0-1 win. Carillo is the leading goalscorer for Peru with 2 goals, while Pena and Lapadula added 1 goal each. The good news for Peru is that thanks to their high position in the group stage, they got the easier opponent in the knockouts, and with the soccer, they are applying, Peru could very well advance to the next stage.
Paraguay has also done well enough to get through the group stage, and they have won 2 of their 4 games. Offensively, Paraguay was decent with 5 scored goals, but their biggest problem now is the injury of Almiron who is still questionable for this game. Defensively, Paraguay has conceded only 3 goals, and in a group with Argentina, Chile, and Uruguay, that is a nice accomplishment. Paraguay was playing against Uruguay in their last match, and they have had 51% of ball possession, 0 shots on goal, 0 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 83% of the correct passes. After they conceded a penalty kick in the 21st minute, which Uruguay turned into a goal, Paraguay was defending well, they have created a few good chances, but they remained scoreless. Paraguay has lost this match 1-0. Romero has scored 2 goals for Paraguay so far, while Romero Gamarra, Samudio, and Almiron added 1 goal each. Paraguay has equal chances to win this match as Peru does, but they are a solid team, they are playing well on both ends, and they could advance to the semifinals.
There is no home or away team here as this game is played in Brazil. The trends are slightly on Peru’s side in this matchup, and I’m leaning towards them because they are in slightly better form, but I think it will be a tight game. I’m taking the draw in this one because I don’t see a lot of goals being scored here.