Brazil vs. Peru
July 5, 2021 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -125, Under 2.5 +100
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Brazil is hosting Peru at Estadio Nilton Santos in the Semifinals of the Copa America 2021. Brazil is still undefeated in this tournament, but they have had a tough game against Chile in the Quarterfinals. Peru is the biggest surprise in this tournament, and they are now undefeated in their last 4 games.
Brazil has had a tough opponent in Chile in the Quarterfinals, but they were solid in that game with 42% of ball possession, 5 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 4 big chances created, and a solid 83% of the correct passes. The first half was tough for both teams, but as soon as the second half started, Brazil has scored a goal. In the 48th minute, Brazil has conceded a red card, Gabriel Jesus to be precise after a stupid and reckless foul. Brazil was able to defend even with a player less on the field, and they have won this game 1-0. Neymar is still the leading goalscorer for Brazil with only 2 goals, and he is expected to be in the starting lineup in this game as well. Brazil was fantastic on the defensive end so far in this tournament, and they will need that defense for the rest of the tournament because Argentina is playing better and better, and it’s likely these two teams will meet in the finals.
Not only Peru has qualified past the group stage from 2nd place, but they have also knocked out a tough opponent in the Quarterfinals. Peru was playing against Paraguay, and they have had 55% of ball possession, 5 shots on goal, 3 corner kicks, 3 big chances created, and 85% of the correct passes. After conceding a goal in the 11th minute, Peru has turned the score around by halftime, and Paraguay has even conceded a red card in the 48th minute. In the 54th minute, Peru has conceded another goal, but as luck would have it, Peru has scored one more goal in the 80th minute. As luck gave it, luck take it away when Peru conceded a red card in the 85th minute. Paraguay was once again able to come back into this match with a goal in the 90th minute. The regular time ended in a 3-3 draw, but Peru was better in the penalty shootout, and they have won this game. Lapadula is the leading goalscorer for Peru with 3 goals, while Carrillo added 2 goals. Peru has done really well in this tournament, and they have proved they are a talented team, but their defense is sloppy and inconsistent, and I think that will cost them.
Brazil is undefeated in their last 12 games, while Peru is undefeated in their last 4 games. Brazil will be without Jesus in this game, but he hasn’t done much anyway. Brazil has also won 10 of their last 15 games against Peru, and I think they will add one more win to that number.