AC Milan vs. Cagliari
August 29, 2021 2:45 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -175, Under 2.5 +137
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AC Milan is hosting Cagliari at San Siro in round 2 of the Italian Serie A. Milan has started this season with a win, and they have been making moves in the offseason to attack the title. Cagliari has been hot and cold so far this season, but they haven’t lost any of their last 2 games.
Milan has lost only 1 of their last 11 games, and they are undefeated in their last 3 games, including their season opener against Sampdoria on the road. Milan has had 50% of ball possession in that game, 4 shots on goal, 3 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and 80% of the correct passes. It didn’t take long for Milan to score, only 9 minutes, and the result hasn’t changed again after that. Milan has won this match 0-1, and Diaz was the only goalscorer. Only Ibrahimovic and Kessie are injured for Milan at the moment. Milan has a great chance to win the title last season, but some injuries and the lack of depth have affected their game in the second half of the season, and they ended the season in 2nd place. In the offseason, Milan has signed some great players, and that will certainly help them in the title run this season, I just hope they can handle playing in the Champions League as well.
Cagliari wasn’t an overly offensive team last season, but it seems they have improved their offense ahead of this season, the only problem is their defense is still bad. Cagliari was hosting Spezia in their first game of the season, and they were the dominant team with 59% of ball possession, 9 shots on goal, 11 corner kicks, 5 big chances created, and a decent 80% of the correct passes. As I’ve said, Cagliari’s defense has remained horrible, and they were losing 0-2 in the 58th minute. Luckily for Cagliari, they were able to tie the score, and this game has ended in a 2-2 draw. With 2 scored goals, Joao Pedro is the leading goalscorer for Cagliari. Rog and Cragno are the only 2 injured players for Cagliari. After barely escaping the relegation last season, Cagliari will have another tough season if they can’t get their defense better, and I’m not sure they will. Cagliari can score a lot of goals, but none of that matters if they concede more than they can score.
When playing at home, Milan has not lost to Cagliari in their last 18 games, while Cagliari won only 3 games against Milan overall, and their last win on the road against Milan was back in 1997. With Cagliari’s terrible defense, I just don’t see them getting a win here, and for that reason, I’m taking Milan at home.