1899 Hoffenheim vs. RB Leipzig
November 20, 2021 9:30 am EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -200, Under 2.5 +162
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Hoffenheim is welcoming RB Leipzig to PreZero Arena in round 12 of the German Bundesliga. Hoffenheim is a good team, but they have been very inconsistent so far this season, especially on the defensive end. Leipzig has an important Champions League game ahead, but they are a solid team, their injury list is short, and they will go for the win in this game.
Hoffenheim has lost 2 of their last 5 games, but they have been decent in the attacking end with 19 scored goals so far this season. I know Hoffenheim can do a lot more damage in the attacking end, but they are having trouble staying in good form and finishing their chances. Hoffenheim was playing against Bochum in their last game, and they have had 62% of ball possession, but only 1 shot on goal, 4 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 80% of the correct passes. Despite all the possession, Hoffenheim has conceded 2 goals in the second half, and they ended up losing this game 2-0, which was a surprise. Baumgartner and Larsen are the leading goalscorers for Hoffenheim with only 3 goals each, but Kramaric has added 6 assists. John, Kaderabek, Bicakcic, and Hubner are all injured for Hoffenheim. I think Hoffenheim is good enough to get back into the battle for the Europa League, but they really need to start taking this more seriously and start playing well more consistently.
Leipzig has caught a nice form, and they are now undefeated in their last 6 games, including in their Champions League game against PSG. Thanks to this nice run, Leipzig has climbed the standings to 5th place with 18 points, but they are still 10 points away from Bayern. In the attacking end, Leipzig is waking up, and they have now scored 23 goals, 5 of which were scored by Nkunku. Poulsen and Forsberg have added 4 goals each. There are still a few great players that are injured for Leipzig. In their last Bundesliga game against Borussia Dortmund, Leipzig was the better team, and that didn’t happen often this season. Leipzig has had 54% of ball possession, 6 shots on goal, 5 corner kicks, 3 big chances created, and 80% of the correct passes. Leipzig deserved a win here, and they got it. The final score was 2-1. In the Champions League, Leipzig can’t advance to the next stage, but they could still qualify for the Europa League, but only if they beat Club Brugge next week.
Leipzig is still without a win on the road this season, while Hoffenheim has won their last 4 home games. Both teams are in decent form right now, but I will side with Hoffenheim because Leipzig is playing in the Champions League next week, and they might decide to rest a few players.