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Bayer Leverkusen vs. FSV Mainz 9/25/21 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen vs. FSV Mainz
September 25, 2021 9:30 am EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -150, Under 2.5 +120
(Get latest betting odds)

Bayer Leverkusen is hosting FSV Mainz at BayArena in round 6 of the German Bundesliga. Leverkusen has been a force in the attacking end, and honestly, I’m surprised how well they are playing. Mainz is also in great form, and they have lost only 1 game s far this season.

Leverkusen is on a 2-game winning streak during which they scored 3 goals and conceded 2 goals, but one of those wins was in the Europa League. In their last game against Stuttgart on the road, Leverkusen has had only 36% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 6 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and 69% of the correct passes. Leverkusen has conceded a red card in the 31st minute when they were 0-2 ahead, and they have scored 1 more goal in the second half. Leverkusen has won this game 1-3. Schick is the leading goalscorer for Leverkusen with 4 goals, while Wirtz and Diaby have added 3 goals each. Wirtz has also added 3 assists. The injury list is still long, but I think Leverkusen has gotten used to all of that. I’m glad for Leverkusen, they are a legendary German team, and I hope they can keep this going.

Mainz hasn’t lost any of their last 4 games while losing only 1 of their last 9 games. Offensively, Mainz isn’t a strong team, they have scored only 6 goals so far, but they have conceded only 2 goals, and their defense is what keeps winning their games. In their last game against Freiburg, Mainz has had 46% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and only 65% of the correct passes. This was a game without many chances, and it ended pretty much as expected, in a 0-0 draw. Six different players have scored 1 goal each for Mainz so far, while Martin, Niakhate, and Szalai are injured, and that could be the trouble for Mainz. I know Mainz is doing well right now, but without the offense, I’m not sure how long they can keep it up. Mainz definitely won’t have any problems staying in Bundesliga, but I think their ambitions have gone up because of this great start.

When playing at home, Leverkusen hasn’t lost in their last 4 games, while Mainz hasn’t lost in their last 4 games overall. Even though both teams are in good form, Leverkusen is the better team here, and I will take it.

Goran Kucar's Free Pick: Leverkusen -138

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Goran Kucar

I was born and raised in Croatia, and with that, I was raised with soccer all around me. I love playing soccer, watching soccer, and now I love writing and handicapping soccer at PickDawgz and SportsChatPlace.

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