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Montenegro vs. Netherlands 11/13/21 UEFA World Cup Qualifications Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Montenegro vs. Netherlands
November 13, 2021 2:45 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -154, Under 2.5 +120
(Get latest betting odds)

Montenegro is hosting Netherlands at Stadion pod Goricom in Group G of the UEFA World Cup Qualifications. Montenegro has been scoring a lot of goals in these qualifications, but they have also been conceding a lot, which is why I don’t see them qualifying for the World Cup. Netherlands is at the top of this group, but they can still lose that spot if they don’t win in their last 2 games.

This is a tight group where 4 teams could still qualify, but I don’t think Montenegro will make it. Yes, Montenegro has been scoring a ton, and Jovetic and Baciraj are their leading goalscorers with 3 goals, but Montenegro has also been conceding goals left and right. Netherlands was playing against Norway in their last game, and they have had 49% of ball possession, 0 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 74% of the correct passes. This wasn’t a bad game for Montenegro, but they just couldn’t stop Norway, even without Haaland. Montenegro has lost this game 2-0. In order to even have a chance at qualifying, Montenegro would need both wins in their last 2 games, and honestly, with their defense, I don’t see it happening.

Netherlands is on a nice 4-game winning streak, while they haven’t lost in their last 5 games, and they also haven’t conceded a goal in 3 of their last 4 games. Netherlands is at the top of this group with 19 points, and they have been brilliant in the attacking end with 29 scored goals, but their defense has also been solid with only 6 conceded goals. Depay has been playing really well for Netherlands, and he has 9 goals to his name, while Klaassen added 4 goals. Netherlands was playing against Gibraltar in their last game, and it was pure dominance by them. Netherlands has had 83% of ball possession, 12 shots on goal, 16 corner kicks, 8 big chances created, and 89% of the correct passes. It didn’t take long for Netherlands to score a goal, and they have won this game 6-0. Netherlands is facing Norway in their last game, and that will most likely be the game that will decide the winner of this group, but Netherlands has the advantage right now.

Netherlands and Montenegro have met only once and that was a couple of months ago when Netherlands won 4-0. It’s no secret Netherlands is the better team, by a lot, and I think they will dominate despite playing on the road.

Goran Kucar's Free Pick: Netherlands and over 2.5 -120

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Goran Kucar

I was born and raised in Croatia, and with that, I was raised with soccer all around me. I love playing soccer, watching soccer, and now I love writing and handicapping soccer at PickDawgz and SportsChatPlace.

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