USA vs. Mexico 8/1/21 CONCACAF Gold Cup Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA is hosting Mexico at Allegiant Stadium in the CONCACAF Gold Cup finals. The USA has won all of their games in this tournament, and they have conceded only 1 goal, which is impressive. Mexico is undefeated in this tournament, but they have had a tough game in the semifinals against Canada.

True, the USA is missing a couple of their best players in this tournament, but to concede only 1 goal, that really is impressive. The USA hasn’t played against some strong teams, but still, a nice accomplishment. In their semifinals match against Qatar, the USA was solid with 58% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and 87% of the correct passes. It took a lot of effort from the American side to get a goal here, and they finally did it in the 86^th minute, and that was enough for a 0-1 win. Dike and Zardes are the leading goalscorers for the USA with 2 goals each, and they are both expected to be in the lineup here. This tournament is being played in the USA, and the finals are happening in Las Vegas, which means the USA will have the home-field advantage, and they will need all the help they can get to win this match.

Alongside the USA, Mexico is the best team in this division, but they have been struggling a bit in this tournament, especially against Canada in the semifinals. Mexico was the dominant team in this match with 60% of ball possession, 7 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 3 big chances created, and 79% of the correct passes. Mexico got ahead from the penalty spot in the 47^th minute, but Canada tied the score in the 57^th minute. In the 66^th minute, Mexico was awarded another penalty, but they missed. In the 99^th minute, Mexico has scored a goal, they avoided the extra time, and they have won this match 2-1. Pineda and Funes Mori have each scored 3 goals for Mexico so far in this tournament. Mexico has been solid offensively, but their defense is prone to mistakes, and they will need to reduce that to a minimum in this game. Mexico does have the quality to beat the USA on the road, they are undefeated in this tournament after all, but they will need to stay focused throughout the entire game if they want the trophy.

The USA has a huge home-field advantage, and they have had plenty of success against Mexico. The USA has been using their home-field advantage to the max in this tournament, and this game won’t be any different. The USA has played only 1 game with over 2.5 goals in this tournament, and I don’t think this game will go to the over, and for that reason, I will take the USA at home.