Australian Open: Tennis ATP Odds, Pick, Predictions, Dark Horses - 1/18/16
Australian Open: Prediction, Odds, Pick
2016 Australian Open
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Tennis, ESPN
With the 2016 Australian Open underway next week, it’s time to take a look at some of the longshots to win on the men’s side. Of course, almost anybody besides Novak Djokovic is considered a longshot. Still, there are some valuable lines out there if the best tennis player in the world is able to fall. Here are some tennis players you should consider putting on your card.
Roger Federer - Roger Federer continues to drink from the fountain of youth and isn’t showing many signs of being this old guy who should be truly be on his way out of the sport. Federer has made 14 final appearances since 2015, which includes last year’s Wimbledon and US Open. As for this tournament, Federer has reached at least the semifinals in 11 of his last 12 appearances at the Australian Open. Federer isn’t slowing down even though he turns 35 this year, and I honestly think he’s the biggest threat to Djokovic at the moment. Hard not to throw something on Roger with odds of +1100.
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Nick Kyrgios - I always like to include a player from the site location, as they tend to be crowd favorites and that gives them an extra spark when and if matches get tough. Australia is going to be one of the few places Nick Kyrgios is cheered, as the controversial 20-year-old rubs a lot of people the wrong way and isn’t exactly popular. That won’t be the case in his home country. As for his game, Kyrgios is one of the top servers in the tournament and is coming off a convincing win over Andy Murray in the Hopman Cup. Kyrgios can play with anybody in the world when focused, and he did reach the quarterfinals of last year’s Australian Open. I’ll take a shot with +5000 odds, which also provides hedging room.
David Ferrer- Want to guarantee yourself a profit this tournament? Throw some money on David Ferrer with odds of +10000. Ferrer has made at least the quarterfinals in four of his last five appearances at the Australian Open, clearly the grand slam he plays the best and most consistent. Ferrer doesn’t do anything special but he rarely beats himself and always gives 100 percent each match, a trait that goes a long way in these marathon four or five setters. While Ferrer isn’t going to win this tournament, he should make it fairly fair given his history, and that’s when you can start hedging to make sure you capitalize on your future bet regardless. You’re welcome.
Stan Wawrinka - Ever since winning the 2014 Australian Open, Stan Wawrinka has made at least the quarterfinals in seven of his last eight grand slam appearances. Wawrinka made the semifinals in last years AO and picked up nine wins over top-10 players last season. Wawrinka has been extremely consistent the past couple of seasons, has proven he’s a legit top-five player and when dialed in can give anybody an honest run for their money. Also, Wawrinka has won his last nine final appearances, which has to count for something if he can make it that far in this tournament. You have to throw something on Wawrinka with odds of +1500.
Novak Djokovic - Honestly, getting Novak Djokovic with odds of -135 is pretty good value considering it will likely be -250 or so against almost anybody he meets in a potential final. Djokovic is by far the best player in tennis right now and should be a nice favorite heading into this tournament given he’s won the Australian Open in four of the last five years and has been on a tear dating back to last season. While the other guys are long shots who provide a nice bang for your buck, getting Djokovic with low juice now is probably your best bet.