Karolina Pliskova vs. Garbine Muguruza 2016 WTA Championships Pick, Odds, Prediction
Muguruza vs. Pliskova
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Karolina Pliskova and Garbine Muguruza meet in the first match of the tennis 2016 WTA Championships.
Karolina Pliskova has kind of cooled off a bit, but she was the hottest tennis player in the world at one point after winning the Cincinnati Masters and making the final of the US Open. This has clearly been the breakout season for Pliskova, and she now gets to try her hand in the WTA Finals for the first time in her career. Pliskova and her confidence has skyrocketed the last few months and that service game is as sharp as it’s ever been. When Pliskova is hitting her spots and getting her first serve in play, she’s proven she can beat anybody and can simply break the will of her opponent with all of the aces. Pliskova has six wins over top-10 players this season. Pliskova has won 10 of her last 14 matches on hard court.
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Garbine Muguruza comes into this tournament in very shaky form and hasn’t looked good at all since making the semifinals in Cincinnati. Muguruza has struggled with her service game, has racked up the unforced errors and her confidence can get very fragile at any moment. Muguruza doesn’t look like the same player she was a few months ago. Now, the good news is that Muguruza was making a case for the top spot in the world a few months ago after winning the French Open and her powerful groundstrokes make her a tough out when she’s hitting well. Muguruza also has 13 wins over top-10 players since last year and did make the semifinals in last years WTA Finals. Muguruza has split her last eight matches on hard court.
These two have played four times in the past and Pliskova has won three of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Cincinnati Masters, a match Pliskova won in straight sets. Muguruza’s only win over Pliskova came in the 2013 French Open. This will be the fourth time Muguruza and Pliskova play on hard court.
Until Muguruza proves she can get out of this funk, she’s tough to back. It’s even tougher to have confidence in her when going up against a serving machine and one of the hotter players at the moment in Pliskova. After winning in Cincinnati, a light went off for the young Pliskova and she now believes she’s a top player in the world.
You have to like Pliskova to win this match given the way Muguruza has struggled.