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Kevin Anderson vs. Rafael Nadal 2017 US Open Final Pick, Odds, Prediction

Nadal vs. Anderson

September 2017

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

Kevin Anderson and Rafael Nadal meet in the final of the 2017 US Open.  

Kevin Anderson is coming off a four sets win over Pablo Carreno Busta that took 41 games to decide. In the victory, Anderson won 83 percent of his first serve points and 66 percent of his second serve points. Anderson continues to serve extremely well and is coming off a match in which he had 69 percent of his first serves in play. Anderson has faced just eight break points in his last three matches combined. When Anderson is serving at that percentage, it puts so much pressure on his opponent and usually creates openings over time. Anderson has also hit 50-plus winners in three straight matches, which gives him a shot to win this match. Anderson hopes to win his first grand slam title and is in his first grand slam final appearance of his career. Anderson is 3-7 in final appearances on hard court overall. Anderson has won nine of his last 11 matches on hard court.

Kevin Anderson vs. Rafael Nadal 2017 US Open Final Pick, Odds, Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

Rafael Nadal is coming off a four sets win over Juan Martin Del Potro that took 33 games to decide. In the victory, Nadal won 77 percent of his first serve points and 72 percent of his second serve points. Nadal was lights out after dropping the first set and managed to win 43 percent of his return points. Nadal has improved his play with each match this tournament and his serve has been the most impressive. Nadal has both the return and the serve working in his favor, and he’s racking up very little unforced errors. When Nadal is playing such clean tennis, there’s few who can even push him to a competitive match. Nadal hopes to win his 16th career grand slam and his third in the US Open. Nadal is 5-2 in his last grand slam final appearances. Nadal has won eight of his last nine matches on hard court.

These two have played four times and Nadal has won every match. The most recent meeting was in this years Barcelona Open, a match Nadal won in straight sets. Anderson has won just one set against Nadal in all four meetings, and this is their fourth match on hard court.

Anderson always gives himself a chance to win when he’s serving and spraying winners the way he is this tournament. However, he’s had zero career success against Nadal and won’t get as many free points due to the Spaniards return ability. This is a tough matchup for Anderson regardless of how he may be playing currently.

I like Nadal to win another grand slam title.

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