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Jelena Ostapenko vs. Maria Sharapova 2018 Rome Masters Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Sharapova vs. Ostapenko

May 2018

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Tennis

Jelena Ostapenko and Maria Sharapova meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Rome Masters.

Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a three sets win over Johanna Konta that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Ostapenko won 78 percent of her first serve points and 52 percent of her second serve points. Ostapenko was able to rebound after dropping the first set 2-6, as she won 64 percent of her service points and overcame seven double faults. Ostapenko obviously has to play cleaner tennis to make a deeper run, but this has been the story of her season. It’s not always pretty for Ostapenko and can be sloppy, but she digs deep and finds ways to win more times than not. Ostapenko hopes to make the semifinal of a WTA Premier 5 Tournament for the third time in her career. Ostapenko has won 10 of her last 12 matches on clay court.

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Jelena Ostapenko vs. Maria Sharapova 2018 Rome Masters Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports

Maria Sharapova is coming off a straight sets win over Daria Gavrilova that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Sharapova won 56 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Sharapova struggled to pull away, but she came away with seven breaks and grinded out yet another victory. Sharapova has played a lot of tennis to get to this point after two long three set matches, but she’s coming off her most complete performance of the tournament and continues to show signs of getting her feet under her and gaining confidence. Sharapova has now made back-to-back quarterfinal appearances, which is a sign she’s starting to come along. Sharapova has won six of her last eight quarterfinal appearances. Sharapova hopes to make a semifinal of a WTA Premier 5 Tournament for the first time since the 2015 Italian Open. Sharapova has won seven of her last nine matches on clay court.

This will be the first match between these two players.

While Sharapova is playing well, I still need to see more from her, as she’s not Sharapova from a few years back and still has issues putting away her opponents. Because of that and the fighting spirit of Ostapenko, I have to fade Sharapova in this match. If Sharapova isn’t on her game and ready to play a back and forth contest, she’s going home. And based on her struggles at time this season, and not able to close matches easily, she’s hard to trust against top tier players.

This will be tight, but I give the edge to Ostapenko.

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