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Karen Khachanov vs. Rafael Nadal 2018 Rogers Cup Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Rafael Nadal vs. Karen Khachanov

August 2018

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

Karen Khachanov and Rafael Nadal meet in the semifinals of the 2018 tennis Rogers Open.

Karen Khachanov is coming off a straight sets win over Robin Haase that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Khachanov won 91 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Khachanov continues to dominate with his serve, which includes 26 combined aces in his last two matches, and he’s lost just five first serve points during that span as well. That’s just insane numbers for the 22-year-old Russian, and he’s got a chance to win this entire tournament if he keeps it up. This is easily some of the best and most dominant tennis we’ve seen from Khachanov and hopefully its a sign of things to come. Khachanov has a chance to make his second final of the year and the third final appearance of his career. Khachanov has won five of his last seven matches on hard court.

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Karen Khachanov vs. Rafael Nadal 2018 Rogers Cup Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Rafael Nadal is coming off a three sets win over Marin Cilic that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Nadal won 72 percent of his first serve points and 46 percent of his second serve points. Nadal got off to a very slow start but buckled down in the second set and ended up winning 61 percent of his total service points. Nadal shows time and time again that he can find that second gear when needed and just needs a little opening to sink his teeth into a match. That type of victory can carry Nadal to his third Masters 1000 title of the year. Nadal has a chance to make his fifth final of the year and his 116th of his career. This would also be Nadal’s fourth final appearance in the Rogers Cup. Nadal has won seven of his last eight matches on hard court.

These two have played three times and Nadal has won all three meetings. The most recent match was in this years Monte Carlo Masters, a match Nadal won in straight sets. Nadal is 7-0 in sets played against Khachanov. 

Khachanov is a live underdog here based on how well he’s been serving and the fact Nadal had to really dig deep to win his last match. However, betting against Nadal isn’t an option regardless of circumstances. You’re talking about a guy who has now won 21 of his last 23 matches. Khachanov also has had zero success against Nadal in three matches.

I’m backing Nadal until the wheels fall off.

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