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Garbine Muguruza vs. Lesia Tsurenko 2018 Cincinnati Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Lesia Tsurenko vs. Garbine Muguruza

August 2018

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 2

Garbine Muguruza and Lesia Tsurenko meet in the second round of the tennis Cincinnati Open.

Garbine Muguruza hasn’t played since being bounced in the second round of the Wimbledon, a match in which she won 51 percent of her service points and was broken seven times. Up and down play has been the story of Muguruza the last couple of years, and right now we’re dealing with an elite talent who has split her last six matches. Muguruza can look flawless in one match and then fall completely on her face against a mediocre player with not even half the resume she has. It’s a box of chocolates with Muguruza. The good news is Muguruza is the defending champion at the Cincinnati Masters, and she’s 8-3 in this tournament overall. So, if there’s one tournament that can help Muguruza turn things around, it’s probably this one. Muguruza has won seven of her last eight matches on hard court.

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Garbine Muguruza vs. Lesia Tsurenko 2018 Cincinnati Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports

Lesia Tsurenko is coming off a straight sets win over Danielle Rose Collins that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Tsurenko won 83 percent of her first serve points and 63 percent of her second serve points. Tsurenko won 74 percent of her total service points and managed to save both of her break points. It was one of the better performances we’ve seen from Tsurenko recently, and she’s going to be a handful to deal with if she’s going to serve at that level moving forward. Tsurenko simply didn’t look like the player who retired in Montreal, so it’s going to be interesting to see which player we get this time around given the hit or miss play overall. Tsurenko has split her last eight matches on hard court.

These two have played three times and Muguruza has won two of those matches. The most recent meeting was in this years French Open, a match Tsurenko retired after two games.

Tsurenko hasn’t shown us enough to believe she’s ready to turn the corner, and I certainly don’t expect her to serve at that level again. Muguruza is well rested and the defending champion at this event, so she should be highly favored to win this match. Of course, that never means much with the 24-year-old Spaniard, but this is a more than winnable match nonetheless. 

I’ll take Muguruza in straight sets.

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