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Karolina Pliskova vs. Alison Riske 2018 Pan Pacific Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Alison Riske vs. Karolina Pliskova

September 2018

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Bein Sports

Karolina Pliskova and Alison Riske meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Pan Pacific Open.

Karolina Pliskova is coming off a three sets win over Daria Gavrilova that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 65 percent of her first serve points and 43 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova won 58 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her 18 break points. Pliskova continues to not serve the way we’re used to seeing from her, as she had just four aces and was broken four times in the victory. When Pliskova isn’t getting many free points and is struggling with her second serve, she’s not nearly as scary as her ranking suggests. Pliskova has to pick things up if she hopes to make a reasonable run at a title Pliskova hopes to win at least two matches in a single tournament for just the second time in her last five tries. Pliskova has won three of her last five matches on indoor hard court.

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Karolina Pliskova vs. Alison Riske 2018 Pan Pacific Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Alison Riske is coming off a straight sets win over Garbine Muguruza that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Riske won 81 percent of her first serve points and 60 percent of her second serve points. Riske won 72 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her seven break points. It was one of the more impressive performances we’ve ever seen from Riske, as she’s dominated one of the top players in the world and has now won eight straight sets when you throw in qualifying matches. It wasn’t long ago when Riske lost six of her last seven matches, so this sudden turnaround has to throw tennis followers for a loop. Riske has five career wins over top-10 players with one coming this year, but she’s never beaten two top-10 players in a single year. Riske has won five of her last six matches on indoor hard court.

These two have played four times and Pliskova has won three of those matches. The most recent match was in Eastbourne of 2017, a match Pliskova won in straight sets. Riske’s only win over Pliskova came in the Bronx back in 2012. Three of the four matches have been decided in straight sets.

I’m concerned about Pliskova not serving the way we’re used to seeing, as she’s a more than beatable player when that’s the case. Riske just destroyed a high quality player, but the issue with her has been consistency and the fact she couldn’t beat anybody the last couple of months. I have to see more from the American before I can back her with any confidence.

I’ll side with Pliskova in straight sets.

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