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Karolina Pliskova vs. Naomi Osaka 2018 Pan Pacific Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Pliskova

September 2018

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Bein Sports

Karolina Pliskova and Naomi Osaka meet in the final of the 2018 tennis Pan Pacific Open.

Karolina Pliskova is coming off a three sets win over Donna Vekic that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 72 percent of her first serve points and 29 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova got 72 percent of her first serves in play and won 60 percent of her total service points in the victory. Pliskova has put together back-to-back double-digit ace performances, which is key for her considering she wasn’t getting nearly as many free points with her serve as we’re used to seeing. When Pliskova is bombing aces and getting 65-plus percent of her first serves in play, she’s going to be awfully tough to beat. Pliskova hopes to win her second final of the year and her 11th final of her career. Pliskova has won each of her last four final appearances and is 6-7 in career final appearances on hard court. Pliskova has won six of her last seven matches on indoor hard court.

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Karolina Pliskova vs. Naomi Osaka 2018 Pan Pacific Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Naomi Osaka is coming off a straight sets win over Camila Giorgi that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Osaka won 79 percent of her first serve points and 86 percent of her second serve points. Osaka won 81 percent of her total service points and didn’t face a single break point in her victory that took just over an hour. Osaka has now won 10 straight matches and you can see the confidence growing by the match for the 20-year-old. Osaka has yet to drop a set this tournament and has been hitting her spots with both her first and second serve. Right now, Osaka looks unbeatable with just how she has everything working. Osaka hopes to win her third final appearance of the year and her third final of her career. Osaka is 2-1 in career final appearances and all three of those results have come on hard court. Osaka has won each of her last 11 matches on indoor hard court.

These two have split the two previous meetings, as Osaka won in Indian Wells of this year and Pliskova won in Toronto of 2017. 

When these two met earlier this year, Osaka had little trouble defending the return of Pliskova and even forced six double faults with her pressure. Pliskova has gotten back to hitting double-digit aces, but she’s going to have her hands full when Osaka gets the ball in play, as the power doesn’t favor her game. Osaka will have Pliskova on defense and running quite a bit in this match, something she doesn’t want to do. As long as Osaka avoids a large number of unforced errors, she should have little trouble beating Pliskova for the second time. Oh, there’s also the fact Osaka is crushing the competition right now and can do no wrong with her play. These recent numbers are insane.

Osaka keeps the hot streak going and wins her third career title.

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