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Matthew Ebden vs. Fabio Fognini 2018 Chengdu Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Fabio Fognini vs. Matthew Ebden

September 2018

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Tennis

Matthew Ebden and Fabio Fognini meet in the quarterfinals of the 2018 tennis Chengdu Open.

Matthew Ebden is coming off a three sets win over Matteo Berrettini that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Ebden won 72 percent of his first serve points and 63 percent of his second serve points. Ebden won 68 percent of his total service points and saved three of his four break points. Ebden managed to win a match despite winning just 27 percent of his return points and producing one break, which has to give him a great deal of confidence moving forward. Ebden has been hit or miss the last few months, but if he’s going to find ways to win matches without playing his best, this could be a tournament that kind of turns his year around and ends thing on a high note. Ebden has a chance to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since Hertogenbosch. Ebden has split his last six matches on hard court.

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Matthew Ebden vs. Fabio Fognini 2018 Chengdu Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY SPorts

Fabio Fognini is coming off a straight sets win over Ruben Bemelmans that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Fognini won 79 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Fognini won 68 percent of his total service points and saved two of his three break points. Fognini got 62 percent of his first serves in play and hit seven aces, a formula that’s going to give himself a chance to win the title if he can repeat it. Fognini has made a couple of title runs in these smaller tournaments the last couple of months, so there’s no doubt he’s playing good tennis at the moment. However, Fognini can be hard to trust at times given his questionable mental game that leads to him giving away games. Fognini must stay focused on the task at hand and continue to play solid tennis. Fognini has won six of his last eight matches on hard court. 

There’s no previous match history between these two players.

Fognini has been playing really solid tennis the last couple of months that’s kind of gone under the radar. Fognini usually thrives in these smaller tournaments where he doesn’t have to play elite competition. Ebden has put together some nice victories, but the competition level is far greater in this match, and I question if he can match the shotmaking skills of the Italian. 

Fognini gets the job done here in straight sets.

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