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Anastasija Sevastova vs. Caroline Wozniacki 2018 China Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Caroline Wozniacki vs. Anastasija Sevastova

October 2018

The Line: Sevastova +171 / Wozniacki -196 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Bein Sports

Anastasija Sevastova and Caroline Wozniacki meet in the final of the 2018 tennis China Open

Anastasija Sevastova is coming off a straight sets win over Naomi Osaka that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Sevastova won 76 percent of her first serve points and 46 percent of her second serve points. Sevastova won 65 percent of her total service points and saved three of her four break points. Sevastova did the near impossible, as she beat the hottest player on the planet in straight sets and did so while dropping nine aces and giving herself eight break points. It was Sevastova’s fourth victory over a top-10 player this year. Sevastova has won 11 of her last 15 sets played. Sevastova has a chance to win her second title of the year and her fourth title of her career. Sevastova has split her six final appearances in her career and has never previously played in a final on hard court. Sevastova has lost three of her last five final appearances overall. Sevastova has won 10 of her last 12 matches on hard court.

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Anastasija Sevastova vs. Caroline Wozniacki 2018 China Open Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Caroline Wozniacki is coming off a straight sets win over Qiang Wang that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Wozniacki won 69 percent of her first serve points and 54 percent of her second serve points. Wozniacki won 62 percent of her total service points and saved six of her seven break points. Wozniacki has won all 10 sets this tournament and has been broken just once in her last two matches. Wozniacki has cleaned up her serve and is no longer making the silly errors that had her losing six of her last eight matches heading into this tournament. Wozniacki has a chance to win her third title of the year and her 30th title of her career. Wozniacki has won four of her last five final appearances and is 23-17 in final appearances on hard court. Wozniacki hasn’t won three titles in a single year since 2011. Wozniacki has won six of her last seven matches on hard court.

These two have played four times and Wozniacki has won all four matches. The most recent match was in Rome of this year, a match Wozniacki won in three sets. Wozniacki is 8-1 against Sevastova in total sets played, which includes 6-0 on hard court.

Wozniacki has the clear edge in the head to head, but Sevastova has been playing the better tennis the last few months, and she’s a different player than she was even last year. These two haven’t played on hard court since Dubai of 2017 and Sevastova is a player who has improved tremendously even in the last few months. Heck, Sevastova just beat Osaka in straight sets, the best player in the world at the moment.

I’m not sure how you turn down Sevastova at plus money.

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