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Roger Federer vs. Daniil Medvedev 2018 Shanghai Masters Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Daniil Medvedev vs. Roger Federer

October 2018

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Tennis

Roger Federer and Daniil Medvedev meet in the second round of the 2018 tennis Shanghai Masters.

Roger Federer enters this tournament winning 13 of his last 16 matches and is a two-time winner of this tournament. Federer has played just two matches since the US Open, which were two wins in the Laver Cup, so he should be well rested to defend his title. In his last match, Federer got 74 percent of his first serves in play and saved his only break point, beating John Isner in a competitive two hour performance. If Federer has that sort of serving working again, he has to be considered the favorite to win this tournament. Federer has lost the first match of a tournament just once this year, which was in the Miami Open. Federer has won seven of his last nine matches on hard court.

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Roger Federer vs. Daniil Medvedev 2018 Shanghai Masters Tennis Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction

Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports

Daniil Medvedev is coming off a three sets win over Ze Zhang that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Medvedev won 84 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Medvedev had to dig deep to win that match after dropping the first set and winning a second set tiebreak. Medvedev won 70 percent of his total service points and produced 13 aces in a match that took almost two and a half hours. Medvedev is on quite a roll right now after just winning the Japan Open, and he’s now won eight straight matches overall when you include qualifying. Medvedev has one career win over a top-10 player, which came in last years Wimbledon over Stan Wawrinka. Medvedev has won five of his last six matches on hard court.

There’s no previous match history between these two players.

Medvedev is obviously playing well enough to put a scare in Federer, as he’s serving at a high level and his confidence is sky high given this current winning streak. The problem is Medvedev can’t be in the best of shape fatigue wise given the amount of matches he just played, including the two and  half hours in his last performance alone. Medvedev also doesn’t have a ton of success against top tier players, and it doesn’t get much better than a rested Federer.

Federer wins this match.

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