Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka - 8/24/20 Cincinnati Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka - 8/24/20 Cincinnati Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova

Monday, August 24, 2019 at 11:00 AM (Cincinnati)

The Line: Karolina Muchova +120 / Naomi Osaka -160 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova meet in the second round of the 2020 tennis Western & Southern Open.

Naomi Osaka hasn’t played a recorded match since her Fed Cup loss back in February, so her form entering this tournament is in serious question. Of course, Osaka wasn’t playing her best the last time we saw her anyway, as she’s lost three of her last five matches and was struggling big time with unforced errors. Osaka has been a hit or miss player since her grand slam victories, and it’s often just a confidence issue. When Osaka is hitting the ball clean and has a little pep in her step, she’s the best player in the field and should be the favorite to win the title. Osaka made the quarterfinals of Cincinnati last year. Osaka has split her last six matches on hard court.

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Karolina Muchova is coming off a straight sets win over Ann Li that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Muchova won 81 percent of her first serve points and 70 percent of her second serve points. Muchova won 77 percent of her total service points and converted on two of her seven break points. Muchova got 62 percent of her first serves in play and didn’t face a single break point in the victory. Muchova now looks to win back-to-back matches on the main tour for the first time since Moscow, which was October of last year. Muchova has one career win over a top-10 player, which came last year at Wimbledon. Muchova has won six of her last seven matches on hard court.

There’s no match history between these two players. 

Muchova is more than capable of winning this match if she serves the way she did in her last match, and having recent reps under her belt is major. We have no idea what to expect from Osaka, who hasn’t even played a recored exhibition match to keep her game sharp. And with all that said, we’re still getting Osaka at a price we rarely see her at. I almost have to take advantage of it, even if it’s a bit risky based on the lack of play from Osaka these last six months.

Give me Osaka in a outright win.

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Randy’s Pick Naomi Osaka -160

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.