Novak Djokovic vs. Roberto Bautista-Agut - 8/28/20 Cincinnati Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
Roberto Bautista-Agut vs. Novak Djokovic
Friday, August 28, 2020 at 2:30 PM (Cincinnati)
The Line: Djokovic -623 / Bautista-Agut +483 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
Roberto Bautista-Agut and Novak Djokovic meet in the semifinals of the 2020 tennis Western & Southern Open.
Roberto Bautista-Agut is coming off a three sets win over Daniil Medvedev that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Bautista-Agut won 60 percent of his first serve points and 40 percent of his second serve points. Bautista-Agut won 54 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his 11 break points. Bautista-Agut saved 15 of his 20 break points and got 69 percent of his first serves in play. Bautista-Agut has now won back-to-back three set matches and both victories came when he dropped the first set. While fatigue could be an issue at this point, Bautista-Agut is certainly knocking the rust off with these lengthy matches. Bautista-Agut looks to make his second career Masters 1000 final appearance and the 17th final appearance of his career overall. Bautista-Agut has split his last six matches on hard court.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a straight sets win over Jan-Lennard Struff that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 73 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 69 percent of his total service points and converted on five of his nine break points. Djokovic saved two of his three break points and got 69 percent of his first serves in play. Djokovic has won all three matches in straight sets and is coming off a performance that took barely an hour to complete. Djokovic hopes to make his seventh final appearance in Cincinnati and the 114th final appearance of his career. Djokovic has won his last 10 matches on hard court.
These two have played 11 times and Djokovic has won eight of those matches, including the most recent meeting in 2019 Wimbledon. However, Bautista-Agut is 3-3 against Djokovic on hard court, with two of those wins coming last year.
Bautista-Agut has had clear success against Djokovic on this surface and is going to be worth a look at plus money. However, Bautista-Agut has also played a lot of taxing matches heading into this one, and that could be an issue given that he’s just now getting back in the swing of things. Djokovic looks fresh and is beating up his opponents from the start.
I’ll take Djokovic in straight sets.