Tennis Picks

Carlos Alcaraz vs Hubert Hurkacz 4/1/22 Miami Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Hubert Hurkacz vs Carlos Alcaraz
April 1, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Carlos Alcaraz -205 / Hubert Hurkacz +164
(Get latest betting odds)

Hubert Hurkacz and Carlos Alcaraz meet in the semifinals of the 2022 tennis Miami Open.

Hubert Hurkacz is coming off a straight set win over Daniil Medvedev that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Hurkacz won 74 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Hurkacz won 70 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his 14 break points. Hurkacz got 72 percent of his first serves in play and won a competitive first set tiebreak. Hurkacz has won eight of nine sets this tournament and has won 11 of his last 14 sets overall. Hurkacz looks to make his fifth career final appearance and his second ATP Masters 1000 finals appearance. Hurkacz is 1-1 in Masters 1000 semifinal matches. Hurkacz has won six of his last seven matches on hard court.

Carlos Alcaraz is coming off a three sets win over Miomir Kecmanovic that took 35 games to decide. In the victory, Alcaraz won 78 percent of his first serve points and 52 percent of his second serve points. Alcaraz won 72 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his two break points. Alcaraz got 75 percent of his first serves in play and came back after losing a tough first set tiebreak. Alcaraz has won three of his last four matches that have gone the distance. Alcaraz looks to make his third career final appearance and his first ever ATP Masters 1000 finals appearance. Alcaraz lost his only other Masters 1000 semifinal match. Alcaraz has won eight of his last nine matches on hard court. 

There’s no match history between these two players.

You could argue Alcaraz is playing the better tennis and his recent service performance was impressive, but this line is a bit confusing. Hurkacz is the better player on hard court, and he has history in Miami, considering he won this tournament last year. Hurkacz also just beat the favorite to win this event. Maybe oddsmakers know something we don’t, but I’ll gladly take a stab with Hurkacz and the plus money here. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Hubert Hurkacz +164

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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