Yulia Putintseva vs Garbine Muguruza 5/11/22 Italian Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Garbine Muguruza vs Yulia Putintseva
May 11, 2022 9:30 am EDT
The Line: Yulia Putintseva +129 / Garbine Muguruza -164
(Click here for latest betting odds)

Garbine Muguruza and Yulia Putintseva meet in the second round of the 2022 tennis Italian Open.

Garbine Muguruza lost her second match in Madrid and has lost three of her last four matches overall. Muguruza is coming off a match where she won just three games and didn’t convert on any of her six break points. Muguruza has had issues stringing together success all year, and her last effort doesn’t exactly inspire confidence. The good news for Muguruza is that the Italian Open is one of her most successful 1000 tournaments, and she’s made the semifinals here three times. Muguruza has lost her opening match just once this year. Muguruza has split her last 10 matches on clay court.

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Yulia Putintseva is coming off a three sets win over Kaja Juvan that took 34 games to decide. In the victory, Putintseva won 64 percent of her first serve points and 45 percent of her second serve points. Putintseva won 59 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her 20 break points. Putintseva got 75 percent of her first serves in play and saved eight of her 12 break points. Putintseva has eight career wins over top-10 players, but none of them have come since 2019 Wimbledon. Putintseva is now 6-4 for her career in the Italian Open, making this her most successful 1000 tournaments in terms of winning percentage. Putintseva has won seven of her last nine matches on clay court.

Muguruza has won two of the three meetings, but it was Putintseva who won the most recent match in 2021 Charleston, a match Muguruza retired in the second set despite winning the first set. Muguruza won the other two matches in straight sets, including a clay match in the 2017 French Open.  

You can make a case for Putintseva in this match given the form of Muguruza, as she’s not playing well. No result would be shocking here. With that said, Muguruza has dominated the three previous matches, even the match she had to retire because she was ahead in that contest. Putintseva also has little to no success in 1000 tournaments, so she’s hard to trust in spots like this.

Give me Muguruza in straight sets for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Garbine Muguruza In Straight Sets

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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