Petra Kvitova vs Garbine Muguruza 9/3/22 US Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Garbine Muguruza and Petra Kvitova meet in the third round of the 2022 tennis US Open.

Garbine Muguruza is coming off a straight set win over Linda Fruhvirtova that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Muguruza won 71 percent of her first serve points and 55 percent of her second serve points. Muguruza won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 6 break points. Muguruza got 64 percent of her first serves in play and hit 7 aces. Muguruza looks to win 3 straight matches for the first time since Chicago last year. Muguruza looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the fourth time since 2020. Muguruza looks to make the fourth round of the US Open for the third time. Muguruza has split her last 10 matches on hard court.

Petra Kvitova is coming off a walkover win over Anhelina Kalinina, so she’ll be well rested for this match. Kvitova has played just an hour and half of tennis to get to this point. In her first round victory, Kvitova saved all 4 of her break points and won 70 percent of her total service points. Kvitova has now won 14 of her last 17 matches. Kvitova looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time since the 2020 US Open. Kvitova has won 5 of her last 7 grand slam third round matches. Kvitova has won 6 of her last 7 matches on hard court.

Kvitova has won 5 of the last 6 meetings against Muguruza, including the most recent match in 2021 Doha. Muguruza’s lone win over Kvitova came in 2015 Guadalajara, the first match.

Muguruza is capable of pulling off the upset here, but she’s been hit or miss all year, and it makes her hard to trust. Kvitova is rested after not having to play a third round match, and she’s owned the h2h history against Muguruza. That has to count for something.

She’s playing her best tennis in recent memory. Give me Kvitova to advance to the fourth round.