Tennis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud 9/11/22 US Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
September 11, 2022 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Carlos Alcaraz -200 / Casper Ruud +170
(Click here for latest betting odds)

Casper Ruud and Carlos Alcaraz meet in the final of the 2022 tennis US Open.

Casper Ruud is coming off a 4 sets win over Karen Khachanov that took 41 games to decide. In the victory, Ruud won 83 percent of his first serve points and 59 percent of his second serve points. Ruud won 74 percent of his total service points and converted on 6 of his 13 break points. Ruud got 64 percent of his first serves in play and hit 10 aces. Ruud has won 13 of his last 15 matches overall. Ruud looks to win his first career grand slam title and his 10th career title overall. Ruud lost his only other grand slam final, which came this year in the French Open. Ruud is 8-2 in his last 10 final appearances and 1-1 in final trips on hard court. Ruud has 6 career wins over top-10 players, and 2 of those wins have come this year. Ruud has won 8 of his last 10 matches on hard court.

Carlos Alcaraz is coming off a 5 sets win over Frances Tiafoe that took 51 games to decide. In the victory, Alcaraz won 74 percent of his first serve points and 60 percent of his second serve points. Alcaraz won 70 percent of his total service points and converted on 9 of his 20 break points. Alcaraz got 70 percent of his first serves in play and hit 6 aces. Alcaraz has now won 3 straight 5 set matches and each of his last 5 matches that have gone the distance. Alcaraz looks to win his first career grand slam title and his sixth title overall. Alcaraz is 1-0 in final trips on hard court and 5-2 in final appearances overall. Alcaraz has lost his last 2 final appearances. Alcaraz has 11 career wins over top-10 players, and 8 of those wins have come this year. Alcaraz has won 8 of his last 9 matches on hard court. 

Alcaraz has won 2 of the 3 matches against Ruud. However, it was Ruud who won the most recent meeting, an exhibition this year in Hurlingham. Alcaraz won 2022 Miami and 2021 Marbella. All 3 matches were decided in straight sets.

This should be a fun match between two young players who are not only playing for their first grand slam title but also to become the top ranked player in the world. Get your popcorn, folks. Ruud and the plus money is intriguing because he’s as solid as they come in terms of limiting unforced errors and staying in rallies. Ruud gives himself a chance to win every match. Alcaraz has played 15 sets and over 13 hours of tennis in his last 3 matches. When you assume Alcaraz should be tired, he continues to dig deep and find a way. And that’s why you can’t bet against Alcaraz. The kid just keeps coming with it and gets the job done regardless of the circumstances.

Give me Alcaraz to win the US Open.  

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Carlos Alcaraz -200

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.
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