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Ajla Tomljanovic vs Liudmila Samsonova 9/4/22 US Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Liudmila Samsonova vs Ajla Tomljanovic
September 4, 2022 4:30 pm EDT
The Line: Ajla Tomljanovic +162 / Liudmila Samsonova -200
(Get latest betting odds)

Liudmila Samsonova and Ajla Tomljanovic meet in the fourth round of the 2022 tennis US Open.

Liudmila Samsonova is coming off a straight set win over Aleksandra Krunic that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Samsonova won 68 percent of her first serve points and 65 percent of her second serve points. Samsonova won 67 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 6 break points. Samsonova got 54 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. Samsonova has now won each of her last 13 matches. Samsonova looks to make her first career grand slam quarterfinal, as she lost her only other fourth round match last year in Wimbledon. Samsonova has won 13 straight matches on hard court.

Ajla Tomljanovic is coming off a 3 sets win over Serena Williams that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Tomljanovic won 63 percent of her first serve points and 40 percent of her second serve points. Tomljanovic won 55 percent of her total service points and converted on 8 of her 13 break points. Tomljanovic got 62 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. It will be interesting to see how Tomljanovic rebounds from an emotional win where everybody was pulling for Serena to extend her career. Tomljanovic looks to make her third career grand slam quarterfinal and first in the US Open. Tomljanovic is 2-1 in career grand slam fourth round matches. Tomljanovic has won 9 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

These two have split the previous meetings, as Tomljanovic won 2021 Moscow in straight sets and Samsonova won 2022 Washington in 3 sets.

Tomljanovic could be mentally drained for this match after her third round victory that was more than your typical victory. It’s also tough to bet against Samsonova with this run she’s currently on with 13 straight sets. Yes, Samsonova has no serious grand slam success and Tomljanovic has been on this stage before, but one player is hotter than fish grease at the moment.

Give me Samsonova to make her first grand slam quarterfinal.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Liudmila Samsonova -200

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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