Denis Shapovalov vs Jenson Brooksby
October 1, 2022 1:00 am EDT
The Line: Denis Shapovalov -150 / Jenson Brooksby +120
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Denis Shapovalov will meet Jenson Brooksby in the Semi-Finals of the 2022 Korea Open in Seoul. The match will be played on Saturday October 1st, 2022 at 1:00am EST.
Denis Shapovalov is the fourth seed here at the 2022 Korea Open and is ranked 24th in the world. The Canadian is one of the most talented young players in the world, but he has been having a tough time this season, failing to build off a very successful 2021 season where he broke into the top 10 for the first time. He showed signs of life at the US Open and continued that here, defeating both Jaume Munar and Radu Albot en route to his second Semi-Final for the year. The Canadian lefty will be desperate to win the title here and somewhat save the miserable season, and he will have to improve his serving if he is to do so. While he has largely gotten away with it, this will be his most difficult test for the week against Jenson Brooksby who is looking extremely solid.
Jenson Brooksby is seeded 8th here at the Korea Open and is ranked 46th on the ATP Tour. The American has had an inconsistent season as he battled injuries but has still managed to reach his third ATP Semi-Final for the year. As solid as they come from the baseline, he will be fresh after benefitting from the withdrawal of top seed Cameron Norrie, a match where he would have been the big underdog. Brooksby has looked incredible this week and will look to continue that streak against the struggling Denis Shapovalov. Brooksby is the underdog on paper but this match should be much closer in reality, with the American having a shot at the upset.
Despite the gulf in rankings this is truly a match that can go either way. Denis Shapovalov has the much better pedigree and has the higher upside, but he isn’t at full confidence and could be ripe for the upset. Jenson Brooksby never gives much away, and this will be a match where both players are pushed to the limit. I think that it will go the distance, and I am backing Shapovalov here. It’s a tough call, but once he regains his confidence (and he seems to be on track) he is the better player and should be able to hit through the reliable Brooksby. I’m not 100% confident, but I’m siding with the Canadian to edge it here.