Ons Jabeur vs Caroline Garcia 9/8/22 US Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Caroline Garcia and Ons Jabeur meet in the semifinal of the 2022 tennis US Open.

Caroline Garcia is coming off a straight set win over Coco Gauff that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Garcia won 78 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Garcia won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on 3 of her 8 break points. Garcia got 52 percent of her first serves in play and hit 4 aces. Garcia has yet to drop a set this tournament, and she has now won 13 straight matches when you include a pair of qualifying matches in Cincinnati. Garcia has a chance to make her first career grand slam final appearance and her 14th final appearance overall. A win here would give Garcia her fourth final appearance this year. Garcia has 21 career wins over top-10 players, and 4 of those wins have come this year. Garcia has won 13 straight matches on hard court.

Ons Jabeur is coming off a straight set win over Ajla Tomljanovic that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Jabeur won 71 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Jabeur won 57 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 6 break points. Jabeur got 40 percent of her first serves in play and hit 4 aces. Jabeur has now won 18 of her last 22 matches, and 13 of those wins have been decided in straight sets. Jabeur looks to make her second career grand slam final and second this year. Jabeur also looks to make her 10th career final appearance overall and her sixth final trip this year. Jabeur has won 7 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

Jabeur has won both meetings against Garcia. The matches took place in the 2019 US Open (straight sets and the 2020 Australian Open (3 sets).

Both of these ladies are plying terrific tennis right now, and you can make a case for either side. Jabeur is intriguing at a price we rarely get her at, and she’s won both meetings against Garcia. There’s value there. However, Garcia has been a hard court machine as of late, and it’s even tougher to step in front of her. We can’t ignore Jabeur’s struggles in her quarterfinal match, as she wasn’t serving at even a good percentage and held onto that match somehow.

Garcia should make her first grand slam final given her current form.