Grigor Dimitrov vs Stan Wawrinka Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 5/12/23

Randy ChambersMay 11, 2023
Grigor Dimitrov vs Stan Wawrinka Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 5/12/23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

Stan Wawrinka and Grigor Dimitrov meet in the second round of the 2023 tennis Italian Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight set win over Ilya Ivashka that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 80 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka won 74 percent of his total service points and converted on 3 of his 6 break points. Wawrinka got 57 percent of his first serves in play and hit 5 aces. Wawrinka has now split his last 8 matches overall. Wawrinka looks to win back to back matches for the first time since Indian Wells. Wawrinka looks to make the third round of a Masters 1000 for the fourth time since 2020. Wawrinka has lost 6 of his last 9 matches on clay court.

Grigor Dimitrov is coming off a third round exit in Madrid and has split his last 8 played matches overall. Dimitrov has had issues finding consistent success this year and his only real deep run in any tournament came in Rotterdam where he made the semifinals back in February. Dimitrov could use a confidence boosting victory in a match like this. Dimitrov is 10-10 for his career in the Italian Open and hasn’t made the third round in 7 of his last 8 appearances. Dimitrov hasn’t lost an opening match since Indian Wells. Dimitrov has split his last 6 matches on clay court. 

Wawrinka has won 7 of the 12 meetings against Dimitrov. However, it was Dimitrov who won the most recent match in 2020 Acapulco. The 4 matches on clay have been split. Eight of the matches have been decided in straight sets.

Dimitrov is probably the safer bet given that Wawrinka is still trying to work his way back, but we can say similar things for the other side. Dimitrov hasn’t played well this year, and it’s not like he’s torn things up in this tournament either. Wawrinka and his play making style could give Dimitrov a world of trouble, as long as he avoids the unforced errors.

Give me Wawrinka and the even money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:Stan Wawrinka +100
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Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.