Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz meet Sunday in the 2024 French Open tennis final. Here’s a Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction.

Alexander Zverev Betting Preview

Alexander Zverev is coming off a 4 set win over Casper Ruud that took 34 games to decide. In the victory, Zverev won 86 percent of his first serve points and 54 percent of his second serve points. Zverev won 76 percent of his total service points and converted on 5 of his 12 break points. Zverev got 68 percent of his first serves in play and hit 54 winners. Zverev has now won 6 of his last 7 matches that have gone at least 4 sets. Zverev looks to win his first career grand slam title, and he’s 0-1 in previous grand slam finals, with that loss coming in the 2020 US Open. Zverev looks to win his second title of the year overall and his 23rd title of his career. Zverev is 8-3 in career final appearances on clay. Zverev has 51 career wins over top-10 players and 5 of those wins have come this year. Zverev has won 12 straight matches on clay court.

Carlos Alcaraz Betting Preview

Carlos Alcaraz is coming off a 5 set win over Jannik Sinner that took 45 games to decide. In the victory, Alcaraz won 66 percent of his first serve points and 46 percent of his second serve points. Alcaraz won 59 percent of his total service points and converted on 6 of his 14 break points. Alcaraz got 66 percent of his first serves in play and hit 65 winners. Alcaraz has now won 7 straight 5 set matches. Alcaraz looks to win his third career grand slam title and first at the French Open. Alcaraz is 2-0 in grand slam final appearances. Alcaraz looks for his second title of the year and his 14th title of his career. Alcaraz is 7-3 in final appearances on clay court. Alcaraz has 28 career wins over top-10 players, and 5 of those wins have come this year. Alcaraz has won 9 of his last 10 matches on clay court.

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz H2H

Zverev has won 5 of the 9 matches against Alcaraz, but it was the Spaniard who won the most recent match this year in Indian Wells. Zverev won the other match this year in the Australian Open. Zverev beat Alcaraz in the 2022 French Open, but Alcaraz won 2 of the 3 matches on clay overall. Six of the nine matches were decided in straight sets.

Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

I’ve picked against Zverev a few times in this tournament, and he’s made me look foolish, so I wouldn’t be shocked if that happens again. However, what’s picking against him one more time going to hurt? As well as Zverev has played up to this point, he has had issues on the big stage, particularly against highly rated players. And while he may be changing the narrative a bit, I’m not ready to say he’s a new man. Alcaraz has positioned himself to become the new king of clay, and it does feel like he beat the biggest threat left in Sinner. Alcaraz has won two of the three matches against Zverev on clay, and he’s just more comfortable on this surface from a movement standpoint.

Zverev and decent sized plus money is attractive, but I’m rolling with the Spaniard to win his first French Open title. Give me Alcaraz in 4 sets.