Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Matteo Berrettini meet in the fourth of the 2022 tennis US Open.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is coming off a 4 sets win over Daniel Elahi Galan Riveros that took 42 games to decide. In the victory, Davidovich Fokina won 64 percent of his first serve points and 57 percent of his second serve points. Davidovich Fokina won 61 percent of his total service points and converted on 6 of his 13 break points. Davidovich Fokina got 66 percent of his first serves in play and hit 6 aces. Davidovich Fokina has played 12 sets to get to this point, and you have to question if fatigue will be an issue in this spot. Davidovich Fokina looks to make his second career grand slam quarterfinal and first since last year’s French Open. Davidovich Fokina is 1-1 in career grand slam fourth round matches. Davidovich Fokina has split his last 8 matches on hard court.
Matteo Berrettini is coming off a 4 sets win over Andy Murray that took 42 games to decide. In the victory, Berrettini won 74 percent of his first serve points and 51 percent of his second serve points. Berrettini won 67 percent of his total service points and converted on 5 of his 15 break points. Berrettini got 69 percent of his first serves in play and hit 18 aces. Berrettini has now won at least 3 matches in 4 of his last 6 tournaments. Berrettini looks to make his sixth career grand slam quarterfinal and third in the US Open. Berrettini is 5-3 in career grand slam fourth round matches. Berrettini has split his last 10 matches on hard court.
Davidovich Fokina won the only meeting against Berrettini, which was 2021 Monte Carlo. The match was decided in straight sets and 21 games.
Davidovich Fokina will have the mental edge, knowing he won the only match against Berrettini, but its tough to bet against the Italian in this spot. Berrettini is not only playing the better tennis, he’s piling up the free points with his serve, and he has head and shoulders more success on these stages. Once you start getting toward the business end of these tournaments, experience matters.
I’ll lay the juice with Berrettini, as he makes the quarters in New York for a third time.