Ostapenko vs Rybakina Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 1/23/23

Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko meet Monday in the 2023 Australian Open quarterfinals. Let’s preview this match and give out a pick and prediction.

Elena Rybakina Betting Preview

Elena Rybakina is coming off a straight set win over Iga Swiatek that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Rybakina won 80 percent of her first serve points and 46 percent of her second serve points. Rybakina won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 6 break points. Rybakina hit 6 aces and saved 2 of her 4 break points. Rybakina has dropped one set this tournament and has now won 4 completed matches in a single tournament for the first time since winning last year’s Wimbledon. Rybakina has a chance to make her second career grand slam semifinal. Rybakina has won 8 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

Jelena Ostapenko Betting Preview

Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a straight set win over Coco Gauff that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Ostapenko won 80 percent of her first serve points and 42 percent of her second serve points. Ostapenko won 67 percent of her total service points and converted on 3 of her 3 break points. Ostapenko hit 4 aces and saved 7 of her 8 break points. Ostapenko has dropped one set this tournament and has lost a combined 8 games in her last 3 sets. Ostapenko looks to make her third career grand slam semifinal and first since the 2018 Wimbledon. Ostapenko has won 7 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

Rybakina vs Ostapenko Match History

Ostapenko beat Rybakina in both matches in straight sets. The meetings were 2019 Linz and 2021 Eastbourne. 

Randy’s Free Pick

This line is kind of strange. Yes, Rybakina has been the more consistent player over the last year or so, but we’re not going to ignore that Ostapenko has beaten Rybakina soundly twice and neither match was that long ago. Ostapenko also made quick work of Guaff, which is impressive. This line confuses me a bit. Based on the value, I’ll take a stab with Ostapenko.

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