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MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals – June 28, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals - June 28, 2022
2022-06-28 19:05:00 EDT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (29-44) face the Washington Nationals (28-48) at Nationals Park on Tuesday at 7:05pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jose Quintana is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Patrick Corbin is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Nationals are favored to win at -125, while the Pirates are at +105. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Pirates (-180) have a 34-39 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (+155) hold a record of 32-44.
  • The Pirates have a 30-36-7 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total runs line, 36 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 38-35-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 3.6 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging 4.0 (25th).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing a whopping 5.0 runs per game this season (25th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.5 runs (30th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .219 (ranking 28th in the Major Leagues), while the Nationals are batting .252 (7th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 60 (25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 74 (17th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 245 RBIs to rank 28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 292 RBIs to rank 21st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Nationals have an earned run average of 5.13 this season (29th in the Majors), while the Pirates have an ERA of 4.55 (25th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 580 this season, ranking 21st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 579.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .269 against the Nationals this season (29th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates’ opponents are at .252 (23rd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Pirates 13-20-40 8-9-20 5-11-20 7-12-29 6-8-11 0-0-0 2-2-6
  • Nationals 22-19-35 10-9-20 12-10-15 16-11-18 6-8-17 0-0-0 2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Pirates 24-32-17 11-15-11 13-17-6 17-20-11 7-12-6 0-0-0 5-3-2
  • Nationals 24-36-16 9-20-10 15-16-6 17-21-7 7-15-9 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 37-36 in Pirates games this season. The Nationals have a 34-42 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Nationals recorded an upset 3-2 victory over the Pirates at Nationals Park yesterday. Maikel Franco was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. The Nationals have now won four straight at Nationals Park against the Pirates.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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