In this article, we will formulate a Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction for this College Football Week 7 game on Saturday, October 11th at the Huntington Bank Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview
The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a 3-2 record this season and are sitting on the 12th place of the Big Ten. They are 1-4 ATS, 4-1 in Over/Under and have a 0-2 away record and 3-0 home record. The Golden Gophers are coming off a 3-42 away loss against Ohio State and are playing Nebraska and Iowa next.
Offensively, the Golden Gophers average 27.4 points per game, which ranks 79th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 21.4 points per game, which is 56th. Minnesota averages 356.6 total yards per game, with 128.8 rushing yards and 227.8 passing yards per game. They allow 278.8 total yards per game, with 79 rushing and 199.8 passing yards per game.
Drake Lindsey leads the Golden Gophers with 1052 passing yards and 64.3% completed passes, adding 7 touchdowns. Fame Ijeboi leads the team in rushing yards, with 225, and one touchdown, while Javon Tracy has a team-high 12 caught passes for 204 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Devon Williams has a team-high 39 total tackles, 16 of them solo. Anthony Smith leads the Golden Gophers in sacks, with 4.5, while Kerry Brown has two interceptions.
Purdue Boilermakers Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers have a 2-3 record this season and are sitting on the 17th place of the Big Ten. They are 2-3 ATS, 2-3 in Over/Under and have a 0-1 away record and 2-2 home record. The Boilermakers are coming off a 27-43 home loss against Illinois and are playing Northwestern and Rutgers next.
Offensively, the Boilermakers average 27.8 points per game, which ranks 76th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 29.8 points per game, which is 108th. Purdue averages 399.2 total yards per game, with 115.2 rushing yards and 284 passing yards per game. They allow 397.6 total yards per game, with 149.2 rushing and 248.4 passing yards per game.
Ryan Browne leads the Boilermakers with 1338 passing yards and 62.2% completed passes, adding 7 touchdowns. Devin Mockobee leads the team in rushing yards, with 304, and 4 touchdowns, while Nitro Tuggle has a team-high 32 caught passes for 305 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Charles Correa has a team-high 49 total tackles, 21 of them solo. CJ Nunnally IV leads the Boilermakers in sacks, with 3.
Purdue Boilermakers @ Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the Minnesota Golden Gophers will win
- Purdue has lost each of its last 11 road games.
- The favorite has won each of Purdue’s last nine games.
- Minnesota has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Purdue has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine games in October.
- Minnesota has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
- Purdue has lost the first half in each of its last 10 games against conference opponents.
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- The underdog has won each of the last six games between Purdue and Minnesota.
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last six games between Purdue and Minnesota.
- Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Purdue’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Minnesota’s last five home games have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Jameson Geers leads Minnesota for touchdowns (2) this season.
Purdue Boilermakers Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 7, Devin Mockobee leads Purdue for touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Minnesota has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Minnesota has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
- Purdue ranks 3rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (1.8).
- Purdue ranks 130th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (12.4).
Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, Purdue won 49-30 at home, but Minnesota is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings, and are 4-1 in their last 5 home meetings against Purdue. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction, Minnesota is coming as -8.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 50.5 points. Purdue has been struggling coming into this matchup, having lost its last three games, and have lost their only road game this season by 26 points. On the flip side, Minnesota is a perfect 3-0 at home, and have a superior defense. The value here lies with the home team, so the play here is Minnesota by -8.5 points.