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Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun - 9/10/17 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sun vs. Mercury

WNBA Basketball: Sunday September 10, 2017 at 3:00 pm (Mohegan Sun Arena)

The Line: Sun -4.5 -- Over/Under: 164.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Phoenix Mercury and Connecticut Sun meet Sunday in WNBA playoffs action at the Mohegan Sun Arena on ESPN2.

The Phoenix Mercury are coming off a playoff victory over the Seattle Storm on Wednesday. The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 81.8 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 81.5 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 21.9 points and 7.6 rebounds while Diana Taurasi is averaging 17.9 points and 2.7 assists. Monique Currie is the third double-digit scorer and Leilani Mitchell is dishing 3.6 assists. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game. The Phoenix Mercury have split their last eight road games. 

Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun - 9/10/17 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Connecticut Sun ended their regular season splitting their last eight games. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 86 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 81.6 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Jonquel Jones is averaging 15.4 points and 11.9 rebounds while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.8 points and 4.5 assists. Jasmine Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Courtney Williams is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game. The Connecticut Sun have won 10 of their last 12 home games.

The Mercury are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Sun are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Mercury are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Connecticut, 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

The Mercury and the points is an interesting bet because they have a squad full of players who have been there done that in the playoffs. This is a battle tested team capable of winning against anybody anywhere when the game matters. However, the Connecticut Sun have simply been the better and more consistent team all season long, and they're outscoring teams by seven points at home while the Mercury are being outscored by four on the road. Also, the home team has won the last six meetings between these two teams. Give me the Sun and the reasonable line.

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