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Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury - 9/17/17 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Mercury vs. Sparks

WNBA Basketball: Sunday September 17, 2017 at 5:00 pm (Talking Stick Resort Arena)

The Line: Mercury +3.5 -- Over/Under: 155.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Los Angeles Sparks and Phoenix Mercury meet Sunday in game three of the WNBA playoffs at the Talking Stick Resort Arena on ESPN.

The Los Angeles Sparks can advance to their fifth WNBA Finals in franchise history with a victory here. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 83.5 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 74.9 points on 43 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 18.8 points and 7.7 rebounds while Candace Parker is averaging 16.9 points and 4.3 assists. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer and Odyssey Sims is dishing 3.5 assists. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Sparks are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have won five of their last seven road games.

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury - 9/17/17 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Phoenix Mercury need a victory here in order to force a game four on Tuesday. The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 81.3 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 81.6 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 21.9 points and 7.6 rebounds while Diana Taurasi is averaging 17.9 points and 2.7 assists. Monique Currie is the third double-digit scorer and Leilani Mitchell is dishing 3.6 assists. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 30.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game. The Phoenix Mercury have won four of their last six home games.

The Sparks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Mercury are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Semi-Finals games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Sparks are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix, 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Phoenix.

The Sparks have won both meetings by double digits, but the Phoenix Mercury were in both games entering the fourth quarter. Being at home could help this team finish a game. The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings between these two teams and the Sparks aren't nearly as good on the road as they are at home, outscoring teams by just four points. This is a game the Mercury could steal, so I like the value of the points.

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