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Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks - 10/1/17 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Sparks vs. Lynx

WNBA Basketball: Sunday October 1, 2017 at 8:30 pm (Staples Center)

The Line: Sparks -4 -- Over/Under: 153 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Minnesota Lynx and Los Angeles Sparks meet in game four of the WNBA Finals Sunday at the Staples Center on ESPN.

The Minnesota Lynx need a victory here in order to force a deciding game five on Wednesday. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 85.8 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 74.8 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Sylvia Fowles is averaging 18.9 points and 10.4 rebounds while Maya Moore is averaging 17.3 points and 3.5 assists. Seimone Augustus is the third double-digit scorer and Rebekkah Brunson is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Lynx have split their last eight road games.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks - 10/1/17 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Sparks can win their fourth WNBA title in franchise history with a victory here. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 83.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 75.4 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 18.8 points and 7.7 rebounds while Candace Parker is averaging 16.9 points and 4.3 assists. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer and Odyssey Sims is dishing 3.5 assists. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Sparks are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have won 10 straight home games.

The Lynx are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 WNBA Championship games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games. The Sparks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest, 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall. The Lynx are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Sparks have now won five of the last seven meetings against the Lynx and could have easily swept this series if they didn't turn the ball over 25 times in the final minute of game two. Los Angeles has been the better team in this series by far and there's no reason to think that will change with a chance to win the title here. The Sparks are outscoring teams by 13 points at home this season and the Lynx are struggling to get consistent production on the offensive end when you take away Maya Moore. I've seen nothing in the first three games to think Minnesota can turn things around. The Sparks are just been that good. I'll eat the small line here.

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