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Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx - 7/21/18 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Lynx (13-10) vs. Phoenix Mercury (15-9)

WNBA Basketball: Saturday July 21, 2018 at 10:00 pm (Talking Stick Resort Arena)

The Line: Phoenix Mercury -1.5 -- Over/Under: 160.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: LEAGUE PASS

The Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury meet Saturday in WNBA action at the Talking Stick Resort Arena.

The Minnesota Lynx look for a spark of consistent after splitting their last eight games. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 79.1 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 76.8 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Maya Moore is averaging 17.7 points and 2.6 assists while Sylvia Fowles is averaging 17.3 points and 12 rebounds. Seimone Augustus is the third double-digit scorer and Rebekkah Brunson is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game. The Minnesota Lynx have won four of their last five road games.

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Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx - 7/21/18 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Phoenix Mercury could also use a victory here after losing four of their last five games. The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 80.9 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 20.6 points and 7.5 rebounds while Diana Taurasi is averaging 20.6 points and 4.9 assists. DeWanna Bonner is the third double-digit scorer and Briann January is dishing 3.2 assists. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 84.9 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32 rebounds per game. The Phoenix Mercury have won four of their last six home games.

The Lynx are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. The Mercury are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Lynx are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Phoenix, 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the under is 21-10-1 in the last 32 meetings.

The Minnesota Lynx have won nine of the last 10 meetings against the Phoenix Mercury, so the free point holds some value here. However, neither the Lynx or the Mercury have shown much consistency this season, so it's hard to get a read on this game. The one thing to consider here is that the Mercury have won SU 20 of their last 30 home games when favored, while the Lynx have lost outright in 12 of their last 18 games as an underdog. That's key when you consider the line is so small that this is pretty much a pick em game. Throw in the rivarly and the incosnsitent play from Minnesota all year, and this feels like a spot the Mercury could finally get a win over their rival. I'll lay the small chalk with the home team.

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