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Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics - 8/26/18 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Mystics (23-12) vs. Atlanta Dream (23-11)

WNBA Basketball: Sunday August 26, 2018 at 3:00 pm (McCamish Pavilion)

The Line: Atlanta Dream PK -- Over/Under: 160.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN2

The Washington Mystics and Atlanta Dream meet in game one of the WNBA semifinals at the McCamish Pavilion.

The Washington Mystics are coming off a playoff blowout over the Los Angeles Sparks on Thursday. The Washington Mystics are averaging 82.4 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.5 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Elena Delle Donne is averaging 21 points and 7.3 rebounds while Kristi Toliver is averaging 13.8 points and 4.4 assists. Ariel Atkins is the third double-digit scorer and LaToya Sanders is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 86.1 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game. The Washington Mystics have won four of their last five road games.

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Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics - 8/26/18 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Dream enter the playoffs winning 15 of their last 17 games. The Atlanta Dream are averaging 81.8 points on 42.6 percent shooting and allowing 79.5 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Tiffany Hayes is averaging 17.4 points and 2.6 assists while Renee Montgomery is averaging 10.2 points and 3.5 assists. Elizabeth Williams is grabbing 5.7 rebounds and Jessica Breland is dishing 2.1 assists. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.8 rebounds per game. The Atlanta Dream have won four straight home games.

The Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Eastern Conference and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Dream are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Mystics are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta, 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.

Both of these teams have caught fire to finish the season and you can make an argument the Mystics are playing better ball, which includes outscoring teams by 11.2 points in their last five games. The difference for me is that the Atlanta Dream are more of a grind it out style team that defends, which is key come playoff time. The Dream have drastically improved offensively during this insane winning stretch, but they're likely to go back to their roots in the playoffs. I'm taking the home team in this pick em contest.

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