The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in WNBA Second Round Game 1 at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s a Aces vs Fever Prediction. This article will include a Aces vs Fever Pick.
Indiana Fever Betting Preview
The Indiana Fever just beat the Dream in a 3-game series. The Fever have won 7 of their last 10 games.
The Indiana Fever are averaging 77.3 points on 39.9 percent shooting and allowing 75 points on 42.4 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 23.3 points and 3 assists, while Aliyah Boston is averaging 12.3 points and 9.7 rebounds. Odyssey Sims is the third double-digit scorer and Natasha Howard is dishing 2 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 28.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 28.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Aces just beat the Storm in a 3-game series. The Aces have won 18 of their last 19 games.
The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 86.3 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 78.7 points on 43.3 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 29.3 points and 8.7 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 19 points and 4 rebounds. Jewell Loyd is the third double-digit scorer and Chelsea Gray is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 42.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.7 rebounds per game.
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: September 21, 2025
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
- The Aces have won each of their last 12 home games.
- The Fever have lost 15 of their last 16 games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
- The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last six Sunday day games.
- The Fever have failed to cover the spread in 17 of their last 20 games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
Why the Indiana Fever will win
- The Fever have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Aces have lost six of their last seven day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last six day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Aces have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 12 Semi-Finals games as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Aces and Fever have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Fever’s last four games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
- A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
- Chelsea Gray leads all Las Vegas Aces players for assists per 36 minutes (6.3) this season.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
- Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.2) this season.
- Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).
- The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after HT this season – trailed by 19 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.
- The Indiana Fever have scored 90+ points in 10 home games this season – most in the WNBA.
Aces vs Fever Injury Report
The Aces don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Fever will be without Aari McDonald, Sydney Colson, Sophie Cunningham, Chloe Bibby, Caitlin Clark, and Damiris Dantas.
Aces vs Fever Prediction
The Aces are going to be big favorites for obvious reasons as they’re the hottest team in the league, they’re at home and the Fever are still extremely banged up despite making the second round. However, this is a lot of points for a series opener, and the Fever have won the last two games against the Aces, even if both games took place back in July when Vegas wasn’t good. The Fever have covered 8 of their last 10 games overall, and they’ve outright won 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog. I’ll take a shot with the 9 free points.