The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces meet Tuesday in WNBA Second Round Game 5 at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s a Aces vs Fever Prediction. This article will include a Aces vs Fever Pick.
Indiana Fever Betting Preview
The Indiana Fever look to make the WNBA Finals for the first time since the 2015 season. The Fever have won 9 of their last 14 games.
The Indiana Fever are averaging 78.7 points on 41.5 percent shooting and allowing 79.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 23.3 points and 3.1 assists, while Aliyah Boston is averaging 12.7 points and 10.7 rebounds. Odyssey Sims is the third double-digit scorer and Lexie Hull is dishing 1.9 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 30 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Aces look to make the WNBA Finals for the third time in the last 4 years. The Aces have won 20 of their last 23 games.
The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 84.1 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 79.3 points on 43 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 24.7 points and 9.3 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 18.9 points and 4.9 rebounds. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer and NaLyssa Smith is dishing 0.6 assists. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.4 rebounds per game.
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: September 30, 2025
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
- The Aces have won each of their last nine night games at Michelob Ultra Arena.
- The Fever have lost 13 of their last 14 night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
- The Fever have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
- The Aces have covered the spread in five of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Indiana Fever will win
- The Fever have won four of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Aces have lost four of their last five night games following a road loss.
- The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games following a road loss.
- The Fever have covered the spread in five of their last six road games following a home win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Aces’ last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Fever’s last six night games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
- A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
- Chelsea Gray has recorded 46 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
- Kelsey Mitchell ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for points per game (20.2) this season.
- Aliyah Boston ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (3.7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).
- The Indiana Fever have recorded the largest comeback win after HT this season – trailed by 19 points @ Connecticut Sun on August 17.
- The Indiana Fever have scored 90+ points in 11 home games this season – most in the WNBA.
Aces vs Fever Injury Report
The Fever will be without Aari McDonald, Sydney Colson, Sophie Cunningham, Chloe Bibby, Caitlin Clark, and Damiris Dantas.
The Aces don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Aces vs Fever Prediction
The Aces are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, and we could see a repeat of what happened in game 2. The Aces are not only the healthier team, but they’re experienced with a championship roster that knows how to get it done in pressurized games like this. However, the Fever have found ways to get it done despite being counted against a lot.
The Fever have also won 4 of the last 6 games against the Aces. The Fever have covered 15 of their last 23 games as an underdog. It doesn’t always make sense given the injury report, but the Fever keeps finding ways to win, cash tickets, and the confidence is growing. Give me the points.