In this article, we will formulate a Florida Atlantic vs North Texas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 12th at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup.
Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Preview
The Florida Atlantic Owls are 2-3 (0-1) this year after they defeated Wagner by a score of 41-10 in their last game. Florida Atlantic only led 17-10 at halftime, but they pitched a shutout in the second half for the blowout win. The Owls outgained Wagner by a total of 572-132, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 5-10 on third down in the game. Cam Fancher threw for 150 yards and one interception, while CJ Campbell Jr. rushed for 129 yards and two scores.
Florida Atlantic also has a win against FIU this season, but they do have three losses against Michigan State, Army, and UConn. The FAU offense has scored 22 points per game with 162.8 passing yards and 182.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.6 points per game this season. The Owls have gone 25.4% on third down and 9-15 on fourth down so far this season. Cam Fancher has completed 60% of his passes for 707 yards, two touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Omari Hayes has caught 19 passes for 282 yards and one score.
North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview
The North Texas Mean Green are 4-1 (0-1) this season after they defeated Tulsa by a score of 52-20 in their last game. North Texas trailed 3-0 in the second quarter, but they scored the next 45 points to pull away for an easy win. The Mean Green outgained Tulsa by a total of 618-415, won the turnover battle 2-0, and went 3-10 on third down in the game. Chandler Morris threw for 439 yards and five touchdowns, while Makenzie McGill rushed for 70 yards and one score.
North Texas also has wins over South Alabama, SFA, and Wyoming, but they did lose to Texas Tech in their third game. The UNT offense has scored 40.8 points per game with 348.6 passing yards and 163.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 32.2 points per game this season. The Mean Green have gone 34.4% on third down and 8-12 on fourth down through five games. Chandler Morris has completed 65.4% of his passes for 1,643 yards, 16 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while DT Sheffield has caught 23 passes for 317 yards and five scores.
Why North Texas will cover
- North Texas has won 18 of its last 19 games as a favorite.
- Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last five games against conference opponents.
- North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last 10 games in October.
- Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Florida Atlantic has lost the first half in each of its last five games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Florida Atlantic’s last 11 home games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of North Texas’ last five road games in October has gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida Atlantic ranks 6th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (134.4).
- Florida Atlantic ranks 126th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (222.4).
- North Texas ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (15.4).
- North Texas ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (15.0).
Florida Atlantic vs North Texas Prediction
North Texas rolls into this matchup with only one loss on the season and their offense has scored 96 points in their last two games. The Mean Green have a very good passing attack and should move the ball against this struggling FAU defense. Florida Atlantic allowed 48 points in their loss to UConn two games ago and they have some question marks at the quarterback position. I like North Texas to score early and often in this game, so I am taking them to cover on the road.