The Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will meet Saturday in college football action from Malone Stadium. Here’s a Louisiana-Monroe vs Southern Miss Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best LA-Monroe vs Southern Miss pick.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview
Southern Miss took a shutout loss to Kentucky in their first game of the 2024 season but would earn a victory the next week 35-10 versus Southeastern Louisiana. The next two games were losses 49-24 to South Florida and 44-7 versus Jacksonville State.
In the Louisiana game, the Eagles were down 17-13 at the break and couldn’t score from there in a 23-13 defeat. Tate Rodemaker had 140 passing yards. Rodrigues Clark (61 yards) and Kenyon Clay (10 yards; two touchdowns) led the running game in the loss.
LA-Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview
Over on the Warhawks’ side, they posted a couple of wins in their first two outings over Jackson State 30-14 and UAB 32-6. LA-Monroe’s first loss of the 2024 season was versus Texas 51-3, but they’d topple Troy 13-9 the next week.
The Warhawks faced off against James Madison last weekend. In that one LA-Monroe outscored the Dukes 7-6 in the final quarter to hold on for the win 21-19. QB Aidan Armenta logged 147 yards passing, one TD, and one interception while Ahmad Hardy rushed 14 times for 82 yards and a score.
Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win
- Southern Miss has lost seven of its last eight road games.
- The favorite has won each of Southern Miss’ last seven games.
- Louisiana-Monroe has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Southern Miss Golden Eagles will win
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost nine of its last 10 games in October.
- The underdog has won three of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four games.
- Louisiana-Monroe has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Southern Miss has covered the spread in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Louisiana-Monroe has lost the first half in eight of its last nine games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of Southern Miss’ last four road games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 131st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (111.0).
- Louisiana-Monroe ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (249.4).
- Southern Miss ranks T131st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (1.4).
- Southern Miss ranks 131st among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (66).
Louisiana-Monroe vs Southern Miss Prediction
I’m going with LA-Monroe. The Warhawks were down early versus James Madison last weekend but rallied to post the eventual win. There’s plenty to improve on, though. LA-Monroe had a tepid 257 tota. yards (147 passing) with 15 first downs, eight penalties, and two turnovers in their victory.
As for Southern Miss, they had a pretty rough offensive outing against Louisiana in their latest loss. The Eagles posted just 177 yards (140 passing), 4.4 yards per play, eight first downs, 18:10 in time of possession, and 1-of-8 on third-down tries. Southern Miss needs a big shot in the arm this weekend and I don’t think they’ll get enough.