The Boise State Broncos and the San Jose State Spartans meet in week 12 college football action from CEFCU Stadium on Saturday night. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boise State vs. San Jose State prediction.
Boise State Recap
The Boise State Broncos come into this one looking to build on their 8-1 record after a 28-21 win over Nevada last time out. After this game, Boise State will head to Laramie to take on the Wyoming Cowboys.
Boise State Looking To Secure College Football Playoff Spot
Maddux Madsen has thrown for 1,908 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions on 62.4% passing while Ashton Jeanty leads the Broncos on the ground with 1,734 rushing yards and 23 touchdowns this season. Cameron Camper has a team-high 573 receiving yards along with 4 TDs and 34 receptions while Matt Lauter has 31 grabs for 376 yards and 5 scores. Latrell Caples also has 19 receptions for 247 yards and another three Broncos have 100+ receiving yards on the year. On defense, Ty Benefield has a team-high 52 total tackles including 38 solo tackles while Jayden Virgin-Morgan has a team-high 9 sacks and Ahmed Hassanein has 7.5 sacks. As a unit, Boise State’s defense has combined for 40 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- San Jose State has lost each of its last 10 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Boise State has won each of its last nine games against conference opponents.
- San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games in November.
- Boise State has covered the spread in five of its last six November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
San Jose State Recap
The San Jose State Spartans come into this game looking to build on a 6-3 record after picking up a 24-13 win over Oregon State in their last matchup. After this game, San Jose State will be welcoming UNLV to town.
Spartans Playing Role Of Spoiler
Emmett Brown has thrown for 1,621 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 57.6% passing while Walker Eget has 1,312 passing yards with 3 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 56.4% passing. Floyd Chalk IV has 559 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns and Jabari Bates has 254 rushing yards as well. Nick Nash leads the Spartans’ receiving group with 86 grabs for 1,156 yards and 13 touchdowns this season while Justin Lockhart has 38 receptions for 753 yards and 3 scores. Three more Spartans have 200+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jordan Pollard has a team-high 82 total tackles including 40 solo tackles, a pair of sacks, and an interception while Jordan Cobbs has 2 sacks and 2 INTs and DJ Harvey has 2 sacks and 3 INTs. Robert Rahimi also has 4 INTs. San Jose State’s defense as a whole has combined for 18 sacks and 16 INTs as a unit this season.
Why the San Jose State Spartans will win
- San Jose State has won each of its last seven games at CEFCU Stadium.
- San Jose State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 November games as an underdog.
Boise State vs. San Jose State Prediction
I’m leaning towards Boise State here just because of how suspect San Jose State’s defense has been this season and while it’s definitely in Boise State’s interest to just get in and get out with a win, I think that the Broncos also don’t want to leave anything to chance so they’ll take style points wherever they can get them to send a message to the playoff committee. San Jose State will show up because they’re at home and still have an outside chance at the Mountain West title game, but in the end, I think Boise and Jeanty and co. will be too much. Give me Boise.