The Troy Trojans and the South Alabama Jaguars will meet Tuesday in college football action from Hancock Whitney Stadium. Here’s a South Alabama vs Troy prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best South Alabama vs Troy pick.
Troy Trojans Betting Preview
Troy lost their first three games this year, falling to Nevada 28-26, Memphis 38-17, and Iowa 38-21. The Trojans were able to notch a victory over Florida A&M 34-12 on September 21 but then fell 13-9 versus LA-Monroe the next week.
In their latest outing versus Texas State, Troy took yet another defeat. The Trojans were down 28-10 by halftime and ended up limping to a 38-17 result. QB Tucker Kilcrease logged 249 yards and two scores, while Damien Taylor rushed 11 times for 63 yards.
South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview
Over on the South Alabama side, they took losses in their first two games of the season. Those came 52-38 versus North Texas and 27-20 against Ohio. The Jaguars managed two wins over Northwestern State 87-10 and App State 48-14 before a 42-10 loss to LSU.
Matched up against Arkansas State back on October 5, the Jaguars were up 10-9 going into the final quarter. South Alabama gave up nine points from there in a tough loss 18-16. Gio Lopez threw for 292 yards with two scores and an interception. Kentrel Bullock rushed 13 times for 66 yards.
Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win
- Troy has lost six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- South Alabama has won five of its last six games against conference opponents at Hancock Whitney Stadium.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of South Alabama’s last five games.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Troy has won each of its last six games against South Alabama.
- Troy has covered the spread in each of its last six games against South Alabama.
- South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Troy’s last seven games in October has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five games between Troy and South Alabama have gone UNDER the total points line.
South Alabama vs Troy Prediction
I’ll probably just go with South Alabama. There’s not a ton to get excited about here, but it should be a reasonably competitive matchup. The Jaguars posted 453 yards (292 passing) and 24 first downs in their latest loss to Arkansas State but also shot themselves in the foot with 11 penalties for 100 yards. It probably should have been a victory, all things considered.
As for Troy, they generated three takeaways versus Texas State in their last outing but also gave up 467 total yards (215 rushing) and 26 first downs. South Alabama’s offense should have some opportunities here if they can get the run game going.