College Football

Memphis vs North Texas Prediction 10-19-24 College Football Picks

North Texas Mean Green (5-1) vs. Memphis Tigers (5-1)
October 19, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Tigers -10.5 / North Texas Mean Green +10.5; Over/Under: +66.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The North Texas Mean and Memphis Tigers meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Here’s a Memphis vs North Texas Prediction. This article will include a Memphis vs North Texas Pick.

North Texas Mean Green Betting Preview

The North Texas Mean Green beat Tulsa and Florida Atlantic, and they play Tulane next. North Texas has split its last 8 road games. Chandler Morris is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 1,979 yards, 20 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. DT Sheffield and Damon Ward Jr. have combined for 731 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Blair Conwright has 13 receptions.

The North Texas Mean Green ground game is averaging 160.7 yards per contest, and Shane Porter leads the way with 220 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, North Texas is allowing 33 points and 432.3 yards per game. Jayden Hill leads the North Texas Mean Green with 43 tackles, Chavez Brown has 3 sacks and Evan Jackson has 2 interceptions.

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview

The Memphis Tigers beat Middle Tennessee and South Florida, and they play Charlotte next. Memphis has won 7 of its last 9 home games. Seth Henigan is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 1,547 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Roc Taylor and Demeer Blankumsee have combined for 593 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Anthony Landphere has 19 receptions.

The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 155.3 yards per contest, and Mario Anderson Jr. leads the way with 456 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 15.8 points and 301.7 yards per game. Chandler Martin leads the Memphis Tigers with 42 tackles, Elijah Herring has 3.5 sacks and Davion Ross has 2 interceptions.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Memphis has won each of its last nine games as a home favorite.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of North Texas’ last four games.
  • Memphis has won the first quarter in each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
  • North Texas has lost the first half in five of its last six road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Memphis’ last eight games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of North Texas’ last five October games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Memphis ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (1.2).
  • Memphis ranks T6th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (85).
  • North Texas ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (14.5).
  • North Texas ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (15.8).

Memphis vs North Texas Prediction

The North Texas Mean Green have the offensive horses to compete against Memphis, but they don’t play a lick of defense. It’s also going to be interesting to see how North Texas responds after a last second win over FAU last week. Could be tough to refocus after such an emotional win. Memphis is the more talented, balanced team, and it’s covered 4 of its last 5 games as a double-digit favorite. Memphis actually plays defense, which should be the difference in this spot. Give me Memphis in a comfortable home win.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Memphis Tigers -10.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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