In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 12th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Orioles Continue to Win Series
The Baltimore Orioles are 26-12 this season and they have won seven of their last eight games. Baltimore has won the first two games in this series by scores of 4-2 and 5-4. Prior to this series, the Orioles split a two game series with the Nationals, swept the Reds, and won three out of four against the Yankees. Baltimore has not lost a series in their last four series, and they are leading the AL East over the Yankees.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.27 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 196 runs with a .249 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .278 with 12 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is sixth in runs scored this season and they have scored at least four runs in five of their last eight games.
Arizona Needs Better Pitching
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 18-22 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Arizona has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed nine runs in those losses. Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks swept the Reds, lost two out of three against San Diego, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. Arizona has only won one of their last eight series and they are third in the NL West.
The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 196 runs with a .246 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Ketel Marte is batting .294 with nine home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this season. Arizona is also sixth in runs scored this year, but their pitching staff has allowed four runs or more in seven of their last nine games. Luckily for Arizona, their offense has scored at least four runs in five of their last six games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 40.1 innings pitched this year. Kremer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, allowing just four earned runs in his last 18.1 innings pitched. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Zac Gallen, who is 4-2 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this season. Gallen has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but he did allow eight earned runs and 12 hits over 10.0 innings against Seattle and San Francisco.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games after going to extra innings.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Orioles have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Diamondbacks have won six of their last nine games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following an extra innings loss.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Baltimore comes into this matchup playing very well so far this season and they are currently leading the AL East. Arizona has been a disappointment through 40 games and while their offense can score runs, the pitching staff is nowhere near where it needs to be. Arizona is just 9-12 on the road, while Baltimore is 14-7 at home. Arizona is going with their ace, Zac Gallen, on the mound today, but he has shown some weak showings against the Mariners and Giants in recent outings. Baltimore is going with Dean Kremer, who has been great in his last three starts. Both of these offenses are capable of scoring a lot of runs quickly and I don’t know how much I trust Gallen in this spot. My Baltimore Orioles vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction is for this game to go over the total.