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San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 5-12-24 Picks

Cincinnati Reds (17-22) vs. San Francisco Giants (18-23)
May 12, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco Giants -130 / Cincinnati Reds +110; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 12th at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series. 

Reds are Back to Losing 

The Cincinnati Reds are 17-22 this season and they have lost nine of their last ten games. Cincinnati won the first game in this series by a score of 4-2 to snap their losing streak, but they couldn’t continue the momentum and lost on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Reds were swept by Arizona, swept by Baltimore, and lost two out of three against San Diego. Cincinnati is looking for their first series win in their last six tries and they are fourth in the NL Central behind the Brewers, Cubs, and Pirates. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 166 runs with a .213 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .272 with nine home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati is 16th in runs scored this year, but they have scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last nine games. 

Giants Looking for their Second Straight Series Win

The San Francisco Giants are 18-23 this year and they have won three of their last five games. San Francisco lost the first game in this series on Friday, but they won game two by a score of 5-1 on Saturday night. Prior to this series, the Giants won two out of three against Colorado, were swept by the Phillies in four games, and lost two out of three against Boston. San Francisco has also struggled to win consecutive games recently, but they do have a chance to win their second series in a row with a win here. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 153 runs with a .239 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .213 with five home runs and 18 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco is 24th in team ERA and they are 23rd in runs scored, as they have allowed at least five runs in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Kyle Harrison, who is 3-1 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 45.0 innings pitched this year. Harrison has allowed a total of one run in his last three starts (18.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Frankie Montas, who is 2-3 with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 25.1 innings pitched this year. Montas has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four full starts, but did allow one earned run and four hits over 6.0 innings against Arizona last time out. 

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Reds have lost nine of their last 10 games.
  • The Giants have won each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games.
  • The Giants have covered the run line each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games.
  • The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Giants have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a home win.
  • The underdogs have won seven of the Reds’ last eight games.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 day games following a home win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Reds’ last eight games.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against the Giants.
  • The Giants have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three Sunday games as favorites.

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati has really struggled over their last 10 games, winning just one game, and their offense has gone completely cold. The Reds are batting .213 on the season and they will be going up against Kyle Harrison, who has been dominant in his last three starts. San Francisco has also struggled to hit and score runs this season, but they are 10-8 at home. The Giants are facing Frankie Montas, who was very strong last time out. At the end of the day, I trust Harrison and the Giants at home a lot more than I trust Cincinnati’s offense right now. My San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Giants to win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Giants ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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