In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 11th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 83-62 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-3 and 2-3. In their game two loss, Toronto tied the game at two in the eighth inning, but allowed a run in the top of the ninth for the defeat. The Blue Jays recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Lukes and Gimenez, who both had one RBI in the loss. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Hoffman picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Reds before that. Toronto has lost three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 721 runs with a .268 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 23 home runs and 79 RBIs, while George Springer has added 28 home runs and 73 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 9-10 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 168.2 innings pitched this season.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 79-67 this year after they won game two by a score of 3-2 on Wednesday night. Houston blew a 2-0 lead in the later innings, but they responded with a run in the ninth to escape with the victory. The Astros recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Houston started Alexander, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Abreu picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Yankees. Houston has lost four of their last six games and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 615 runs with a .253 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Jose Altuve has led Houston with 24 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 22 home runs and 76 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Cristian Javier, who is 1-2 with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 20.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Blue Jays will beat the Astros
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last six home games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have lost eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last eight Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games following a win.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Astros and Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Astros’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Astros’ last 12 games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games against AL West opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his four previous home appearances against the Astros.
- Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Blue Jays as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL West opponents.
- George Springer has hit at least one home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games as favorites.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Isaac Paredes has hit at least one home run in each of his last two road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Cristian Javier has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded a Double in each of the Astros’ last three games as underdogs.
- Christian Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last nine road games.
- Cristian Javier has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
Blue Jays vs Astros Prediction
Toronto did not hit the ball very well on Wednesday night in their loss and they have dropped three of their last four games. The Blue Jays are 46-25 at home this year, while the Astros are 36-35 on the road. Houston needs every win they can get right now and they are starting Javier, who has allowed 4, 0, and 3 earned runs in his last three starts. Toronto is going with Gausman, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Jays -1.5 here, as I really like how Gausman is pitching.